Borek Moravec vs Jan Skvrna 3-2

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13046726

Played Aug 30Finished

Borek Moravec

Home

1.44

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 3

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

116911911114116

Jan Skvrna

Away

2.63

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 1

How it is goingBorek Moravec above · Jan Skvrna below

Set 1 · 11-6

Set 2 · 9-11

Set 3 · 9-11

Set 4 · 11-4

Set 5 · 11-6

Point 89 set 5, 11-6

89 points played in total.

H2H Borek Moravec 19–13 Jan Skvrna Jan Skvrna has won 13 of their 32 meetings.

Last 10 · 9–1Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Moravec)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Skvrna form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsMoravec 1.44 / Skvrna 2.63

Signal prob.68% / 32%

Edge (Moravec)+3.6pp

TT Cup · #13046726

Moravec1.44

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Won last 3

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite72% won 111 of 155

Up 2–0, closes it96% 52 of 54

Up 1–0, closes it86% 79 of 92

Skvrna2.63

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

80%takes the first set · 8 of 10

As underdog47% won 26 of 55

Down 0–1, comes back19% 5 of 27

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 16

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeMoravec9wins

AwaySkvrna1wins

1 of 10 to a deciderMoravec leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeMoravec100%5 of 5

AwaySkvrna20%1 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Moravec5Skvrna5n = 10split evenly

S2Moravec8Skvrna2n = 10Moravec took 8 of 10

S3Moravec9Skvrna1n = 10Moravec took 9 of 10

S4Moravec4Skvrna1n = 5Moravec took 4 of 5

Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home440%

3–1Four sets, home440%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricMoravecSkvrnaM − SBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.429.0+7.4per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricMoravecSkvrnaBasisWin rate · lifetime251 / 436 vs 441 / 76057.6%58%251 / 436 vs 441 / 760Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.240.0per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Moravec

Moravec 1.44/Skvrna 2.63

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

68.1%

Moravec · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Moravec won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WAug 30 · 06:40B. Moravec—111111113J. Skvrna—139431

WAug 13 · 17:10B. Moravec—1111113J. Skvrna—4880

WAug 13 · 15:40B. Moravec—1111113J. Skvrna—4890

WAug 12 · 09:08B. Moravec—71111113J. Skvrna—114971

WAug 12 · 07:40B. Moravec—1111113J. Skvrna—3750

WAug 5 · 14:15B. Moravec—111111133J. Skvrna—1378111

WJul 27 · 13:45B. Moravec—115114133J. Skvrna—511911112

WJul 18 · 09:10B. Moravec—81111113J. Skvrna—118581

WJul 18 · 08:10B. Moravec—1111113J. Skvrna—7970

LJul 10 · 17:20B. Moravec—5750J. Skvrna—1111113

B. Moravec10

WSep 6 · 08:53F. Chaloupka3.0081151172B. Moravec1.36117114113 LSep 6 · 07:40B. Moravec1.80611761J. Gembala1.9111211113 LSep 6 · 06:40B. Moravec1.4436111172F. Chaloupka2.63111159113 LSep 6 · 05:40B. Moravec1.806950D. Stusek1.911111113 WAug 30 · 07:40B. Moravec1.44831112113F. Chaloupka2.63111181032 WAug 30 · 06:40B. Moravec1.44111111113J. Skvrna2.63139431 WAug 30 · 05:40B. Moravec1.50117119113J. Skalicky2.5051121172 LAug 25 · 16:55J. Rak—116113113B. Moravec—61141182 LAug 25 · 16:15J. Rak1.8311119113B. Moravec1.83691171 WAug 25 · 15:15B. Moravec2.20114117113P. Vicherek1.6191151192

J. Skvrna10

LSep 6 · 12:40J. Skvrna1.5711914472E. Precek2.258111211113 LSep 6 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.7378100T. Krenek2.001111123 LSep 6 · 10:45J. Skvrna1.5731191182L. Slavik2.25114119113 WSep 6 · 09:45J. Skvrna1.53131112113E. Precek2.381551071 WSep 5 · 13:10M. Macurak1.90891191J. Skvrna1.7411118113 WSep 5 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.67111177113J. Krupnik2.1069111152 LSep 5 · 10:45J. Skvrna1.6171180M. Macurak2.201113113 WSep 5 · 09:45J. Skvrna1.53115129113E. Precek2.38911101192 LSep 4 · 17:10D. Skulina1.3611611113J. Skvrna3.00511681 LAug 30 · 06:40B. Moravec1.44111111113J. Skvrna2.63139431

Event Chatroom

This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.