TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12477508
Played Aug 23Finished
Borek Moravec
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9111151161012115
David Stusek
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:21 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeDavid Stusek to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
91 points played in total.
Set by set
9111151161012115
H2H Borek Moravec 3–1 David Stusek David Stusek has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:21What took a side1 for · 5 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Stusek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Moravec
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Moravec 1823 vs Stusek 1594
Moravec
Correct
both rated, 229 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moravec 100% vs Stusek 20%
Moravec
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moravec 70% vs Stusek 50%
Moravec
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Moravec +5 · Stusek -2
Moravec
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Moravec) · live re-read · sealed at 42% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stusek form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoravec 2.00 / Stusek 1.73
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Moravec)+11.0pp
TT Cup · #12477508
Moravec2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog50% won 47 of 94
Down 0–1, comes back34% 19 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 31
Stusek1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite55% won 29 of 53
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it70% 19 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeMoravec3wins
AwayStusek1wins
2 of 4 to a deciderMoravec leads 3–1, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMoravecn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayStusek33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moravec1Stusek3n = 4Stusek took 3 of 4
S2Moravec2Stusek2n = 4split evenly
S3Moravec4Stusek0n = 4Moravec took 4 of 4
S4Moravec3Stusek1n = 4Moravec took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricMoravecStusekM − SBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match45.239.0+6.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoravecStusekBasisWin rate · lifetime247 / 429 vs 86 / 17357.6%49.7%247 / 429 vs 86 / 173Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.240.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MoravecMoravec 2.00/Stusek 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.3%
Moravec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Moravec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 23 · 07:45B. Moravec—9111110113D. Stusek—11561252
WJun 18 · 17:09B. Moravec—91112113D. Stusek—1151061
WJun 18 · 15:40B. Moravec—11411113D. Stusek—811481
LFeb 10 · 14:40B. Moravec—512111292D. Stusek—1114810113
B. Moravec10
WSep 6 · 08:53F. Chaloupka3.0081151172B. Moravec1.36117114113LSep 6 · 07:40B. Moravec1.80611761J. Gembala1.9111211113LSep 6 · 06:40B. Moravec1.4436111172F. Chaloupka2.63111159113LSep 6 · 05:40B. Moravec1.806950D. Stusek1.911111113WAug 30 · 09:19B. Moravec1.44119911113J. Skvrna2.6361111462WAug 30 · 07:40B. Moravec1.44831112113F. Chaloupka2.63111181032WAug 30 · 06:40B. Moravec1.44111111113J. Skvrna2.63139431WAug 30 · 05:40B. Moravec1.50117119113J. Skalicky2.5051121172LAug 25 · 16:55J. Rak—116113113B. Moravec—61141182LAug 25 · 16:15J. Rak1.8311119113B. Moravec1.83691171
D. Stusek10
LSep 6 · 09:25J. Gembala1.611111113D. Stusek2.206970WSep 6 · 08:10F. Chaloupka1.911111711112D. Stusek1.80913119133LSep 6 · 07:10D. Stusek2.381210961J. Gembala1.53101211113WSep 6 · 05:40B. Moravec1.806950D. Stusek1.911111113LAug 26 · 17:03D. Stusek3.008760F. Chaloupka1.361111113WAug 26 · 16:15D. Stusek2.25121147113B. Mrowetz1.57109111182LAug 26 · 14:45J. Gembala1.831111113D. Stusek1.837860LAug 26 · 14:15F. Chaloupka1.831111159133D. Stusek1.83781711112WAug 23 · 08:50D. Vitasek2.387870D. Stusek1.531111113LAug 23 · 07:15D. Vitasek2.3811611113D. Stusek1.53711861
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