TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13089677
Played Sep 7Finished
Dalibor Velky Jr
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012811311––––
Bruno Mrowetz
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:00 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDalibor Velky Jr to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDalibor Velky Jr above · Bruno Mrowetz below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 55 set 3, 3-11 — our read held Dalibor Velky Jr at 54.0%
55 points played in total.
H2H Dalibor Velky Jr 11–9 Bruno Mrowetz Bruno Mrowetz has won 9 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:00What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Jr
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-9 in 20
Jr
Wrong
gap of 2 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jr 1589 vs Mrowetz 1679
Mrowetz
Correct
both rated, 90 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jr 40% vs Mrowetz 60%
Mrowetz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jr 40% vs Mrowetz 70%
Mrowetz
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jr -2 · Mrowetz +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jr form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 1.73 / Mrowetz 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Mrowetz)-0.3pp
TT Cup · #13089677
Jr1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite47% won 86 of 183
Up 2–0, closes it87% 40 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it67% 63 of 94
Mrowetz2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 76 of 183
Down 0–1, comes back24% 21 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJr6wins
AwayMrowetz4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderJr leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJr80%4 of 5
AwayMrowetz60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr5Mrowetz5n = 10split evenly
S2Jr7Mrowetz3n = 10Jr took 7 of 10
S3Jr6Mrowetz4n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S4Jr4Mrowetz2n = 6Jr took 4 of 6
S5Jr1Mrowetz2n = 3Mrowetz took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJrMrowetzJ − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.036.7+3.3per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrMrowetzBasisWin rate · lifetime256 / 508 vs 240 / 47750.4%50.3%256 / 508 vs 240 / 477Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.639.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JrJr 1.73/Mrowetz 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Jr · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Mrowetz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 09:14D. Jr—4147101B. Mrowetz—111211123
WSep 3 · 08:15D. Jr—81211143B. Mrowetz—11105121
WJul 22 · 07:10D. Jr—1314123B. Mrowetz—1112100
WJul 5 · 20:45D. Jr—1111143B. Mrowetz—68120
WJul 5 · 20:10D. Jr—1011911113B. Mrowetz—12311372
LJul 5 · 16:10D. Jr—61161162B. Mrowetz—115119113
LJun 16 · 09:40D. Jr—12990B. Mrowetz—1411113
WJun 12 · 11:45D. Jr—1111113B. Mrowetz—4580
LJun 10 · 09:15D. Jr—13911772B. Mrowetz—1111811113
WJun 10 · 06:45D. Jr—11911123B. Mrowetz—8117101
D. Jr10
LSep 7 · 09:40T. Kindl2.1012713113D. Jr1.6710111191LSep 6 · 09:20D. Jr1.987590T. Krenek1.731111113WSep 6 · 08:15D. Pawlik2.001251431D. Jr1.73141112113WSep 6 · 07:15D. Jr2.101111113L. Slavik1.678390LSep 6 · 05:45T. Krenek1.731111811123D. Jr2.00951113102LSep 4 · 12:40D. Jr1.4499100J. Przybyla2.631111123WSep 4 · 12:10D. Jr1.801311113J. Przybyla1.9111980LSep 4 · 10:40R. Sedlacek1.801111113D. Jr1.918890LSep 4 · 10:10J. Krupnik1.5711116113D. Jr2.25851181WSep 4 · 08:40J. Skvrna1.5776100D. Jr2.251111123
B. Mrowetz10
LSep 7 · 11:40T. Kindl2.2091112183B. Mrowetz1.6111610161WSep 7 · 10:10B. Mrowetz1.671111133R. Benes2.1077110LSep 7 · 09:10L. Lasota2.251113113B. Mrowetz1.5581190LSep 7 · 07:40B. Mrowetz1.5011811772D. Pawlik2.50911711113WSep 7 · 06:40B. Mrowetz1.61661111113L. Lasota2.2011114562WSep 7 · 05:40B. Mrowetz1.361111113J. Przybyla3.007580WSep 5 · 09:16B. Mrowetz1.831181112133M. Macurak1.831311110112WSep 5 · 07:45M. Macurak1.6111541162B. Mrowetz2.20911118113WSep 5 · 07:15J. Przybyla2.25811821B. Mrowetz1.5711511113LSep 5 · 06:15B. Mrowetz1.4411116982D. Pawlik2.63831111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.