TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13097799
Played Sep 8Finished
Dalibor Velky Jr
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
81115171214––––
Tomas Krenek
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingDalibor Velky Jr above · Tomas Krenek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 15-17
Set 3 · 12-14
Point 77 set 3, 12-14
77 points played in total.
H2H Dalibor Velky Jr 15–23 Tomas Krenek Dalibor Velky Jr has won 15 of their 38 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Jr beat Krenek 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krenek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krenek form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 1.91 / Krenek 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Krenek)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13097799
Jr1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog52% won 121 of 235
Down 0–1, comes back30% 35 of 115
Down 0–2, comes back12% 6 of 52
Krenek1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 127 of 236
Up 2–0, closes it90% 52 of 58
Up 1–0, closes it73% 85 of 116
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJr4wins
AwayKrenek6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKrenek leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJr66.7%2 of 3
AwayKrenek71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr3Krenek7n = 10Krenek took 7 of 10
S2Jr5Krenek5n = 10split evenly
S3Jr5Krenek5n = 10split evenly
S4Jr5Krenek3n = 8Jr took 5 of 8
S5Jr1Krenek3n = 4Krenek took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricJrKrenekJ − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.240.8−0.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrKrenekBasisWin rate · lifetime258 / 514 vs 450 / 89150.2%50.5%258 / 514 vs 450 / 891Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.539.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrenekJr 1.91/Krenek 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Krenek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Krenek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 08:10D. Jr—111411113T. Krenek—316671
LSep 6 · 09:20D. Jr—7590T. Krenek—1111113
LSep 6 · 05:45D. Jr—951113102T. Krenek—1111811123
LSep 3 · 06:45D. Jr—121151152T. Krenek—149118113
LSep 2 · 06:45D. Jr—1112881T. Krenek—61411113
WAug 31 · 06:40D. Jr—91111113T. Krenek—116961
LAug 21 · 13:14D. Jr—10590T. Krenek—1211113
WAug 21 · 12:15D. Jr—81111113T. Krenek—115491
WAug 7 · 10:10D. Jr—121485113T. Krenek—1012111182
LAug 7 · 09:24D. Jr—101112672T. Krenek—1241011113
D. Jr10
WSep 8 · 08:10T. Krenek1.61316671D. Jr2.20111411113LSep 8 · 07:10D. Jr2.63714991J. Gembala1.44111211113LSep 8 · 05:40M. Macurak1.5091111113D. Jr2.50116861WSep 7 · 12:40R. Benes1.8087100D. Jr1.911111123LSep 7 · 12:10R. Benes1.9111611113D. Jr1.80711681LSep 7 · 11:10D. Jr1.7310830B. Mrowetz2.001211113LSep 7 · 09:40T. Kindl2.1012713113D. Jr1.6710111191LSep 6 · 09:20D. Jr1.987590T. Krenek1.731111113WSep 6 · 08:15D. Pawlik2.001251431D. Jr1.73141112113WSep 6 · 07:15D. Jr2.101111113L. Slavik1.678390
T. Krenek10
LSep 8 · 08:10T. Krenek1.61316671D. Jr2.20111411113LSep 8 · 06:40M. Macurak1.911111123T. Krenek1.8097100LSep 8 · 06:10J. Gembala1.831211113T. Krenek1.8310670WSep 6 · 13:10T. Krenek1.8613111113L. Slavik1.781111581WSep 6 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.7378100T. Krenek2.001111123LSep 6 · 11:15E. Precek2.10571112113T. Krenek1.67111181092WSep 6 · 10:15T. Krenek1.73111118163L. Slavik2.00481111142WSep 6 · 09:20D. Jr1.987590T. Krenek1.731111113LSep 6 · 07:45T. Krenek1.7311510111L. Slavik2.0071112133WSep 6 · 06:45T. Krenek1.73119119133D. Pawlik2.00611911112
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