TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13095139
Played Sep 8Finished
Tomas Krenek
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
3111614611711––
Dalibor Velky Jr
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:51 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeTomas Krenek to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Krenek above · Dalibor Velky Jr below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 16-14
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 79 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Tomas Krenek at 59.3%
79 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Krenek 23–14 Dalibor Velky Jr Dalibor Velky Jr has won 14 of their 37 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:51What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Krenek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-14 in 37
Krenek
Wrong
gap of 9 in 37, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krenek 1668 vs Jr 1559
Krenek
Wrong
both rated, 109 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krenek 40% vs Jr 20%
Krenek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krenek 60% vs Jr 30%
Krenek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krenek -2 · Jr -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Krenek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jr form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrenek 1.61 / Jr 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Krenek)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13095139
Krenek1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite54% won 127 of 236
Up 2–0, closes it90% 52 of 58
Up 1–0, closes it73% 85 of 116
Jr2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog52% won 121 of 235
Down 0–1, comes back30% 35 of 115
Down 0–2, comes back12% 6 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrenek7wins
AwayJr3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKrenek leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrenek71.4%5 of 7
AwayJr33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krenek7Jr3n = 10Krenek took 7 of 10
S2Krenek5Jr5n = 10split evenly
S3Krenek5Jr5n = 10split evenly
S4Krenek4Jr4n = 8split evenly
S5Krenek4Jr1n = 5Krenek took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrenekJrK − JBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.639.9+2.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrenekJrBasisWin rate · lifetime450 / 890 vs 257 / 51350.6%50.1%450 / 890 vs 257 / 513Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.439.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrenekKrenek 1.61/Jr 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Krenek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 09:20T. Krenek—1111113D. Jr—7590
WSep 6 · 05:45T. Krenek—1111811123D. Jr—951113102
WSep 3 · 06:45T. Krenek—149118113D. Jr—121151152
WSep 2 · 06:45T. Krenek—61411113D. Jr—1112881
LAug 31 · 06:40T. Krenek—116961D. Jr—91111113
WAug 21 · 13:14T. Krenek—1211113D. Jr—10590
LAug 21 · 12:15T. Krenek—115491D. Jr—81111113
LAug 7 · 10:10T. Krenek—1012111182D. Jr—121485113
WAug 7 · 09:24T. Krenek—1241011113D. Jr—101112672
WAug 7 · 06:40T. Krenek—6111111113D. Jr—11713672
T. Krenek10
WSep 8 · 08:38D. Jr1.91815120T. Krenek1.801117143LSep 8 · 06:40M. Macurak1.911111123T. Krenek1.8097100LSep 8 · 06:10J. Gembala1.831211113T. Krenek1.8310670WSep 6 · 13:10T. Krenek1.8613111113L. Slavik1.781111581WSep 6 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.7378100T. Krenek2.001111123LSep 6 · 11:15E. Precek2.10571112113T. Krenek1.67111181092WSep 6 · 10:15T. Krenek1.73111118163L. Slavik2.00481111142WSep 6 · 09:20D. Jr1.987590T. Krenek1.731111113LSep 6 · 07:45T. Krenek1.7311510111L. Slavik2.0071112133WSep 6 · 06:45T. Krenek1.73119119133D. Pawlik2.00611911112
D. Jr10
LSep 8 · 08:38D. Jr1.91815120T. Krenek1.801117143LSep 8 · 07:10D. Jr2.63714991J. Gembala1.44111211113LSep 8 · 05:40M. Macurak1.5091111113D. Jr2.50116861WSep 7 · 12:40R. Benes1.8087100D. Jr1.911111123LSep 7 · 12:10R. Benes1.9111611113D. Jr1.80711681LSep 7 · 11:10D. Jr1.7310830B. Mrowetz2.001211113LSep 7 · 09:40T. Kindl2.1012713113D. Jr1.6710111191LSep 6 · 09:20D. Jr1.987590T. Krenek1.731111113WSep 6 · 08:15D. Pawlik2.001251431D. Jr1.73141112113WSep 6 · 07:15D. Jr2.101111113L. Slavik1.678390
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