TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13068261
Played Sep 3Finished
Lukas Zustina
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119118118––––
Radek Sedivy
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
1–5Last 6Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:29 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukas Zustina to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Zustina above · Radek Sedivy below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 58 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Lukas Zustina at 54.0%
58 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Zustina 2–0 Radek Sedivy Radek Sedivy has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:29What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Zustina
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Zustina 1364 vs Sedivy 1018
Zustina
Correct
both rated, 347 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zustina 20% vs Sedivy 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zustina 20% vs Sedivy 17%
—
Too close
3pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zustina -2 · Sedivy -3
Sedivy
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Zustina) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sedivy form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZustina 1.61 / Sedivy 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Zustina)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13068261
Zustina1.61
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite30% won 7 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it50% 4 of 8
Sedivy2.20
17%won 1 of 6 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest17%takes the first set · 1 of 6
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeZustina2wins
AwaySedivy0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderZustina leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricZustinaSedivyZ − SBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match37.534.0+3.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZustinaSedivyBasisWin rate · lifetime43 / 90 vs 1 / 847.8%12.5%43 / 90 vs 1 / 8Avg sets wonper match1.91.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.931.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZustinaZustina 1.61/Sedivy 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Zustina · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zustina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 3 · 12:45L. Zustina—115114113R. Sedivy—51191172
WSep 3 · 12:15L. Zustina—1111113R. Sedivy—9880
L. Zustina10
WSep 3 · 16:48F. Mandrysz2.10111169122L. Zustina1.67731111143LSep 3 · 15:45J. Jnr2.10511711113L. Zustina1.6711611652LSep 3 · 15:15F. Mandrysz2.1011111111113L. Zustina1.6713881382WSep 3 · 14:15L. Zustina1.7312118113L. Jr2.001091131WSep 3 · 12:45L. Zustina1.28115114113R. Sedivy3.5051191172LSep 3 · 10:45J. Sindler2.10911811143L. Zustina1.67112117122LSep 3 · 10:15R. Jancak1.7311511113L. Zustina2.00611841WAug 4 · 16:43P. Chvojka1.7363100L. Zustina2.001111123LAug 4 · 16:15L. Zustina1.6767110P. Chvojka2.101111133LAug 4 · 14:45P. Jokiel1.911181212113L. Zustina1.80611141062
R. Sedivy7
LSep 3 · 12:45L. Zustina1.28115114113R. Sedivy3.5051191172LSep 3 · 11:15R. Sedivy2.007650R. Jancak1.731111113LSep 3 · 09:45J. Sindler1.4471112113R. Sedivy2.631141091LAug 26 · 12:40R. Sedivy1.73711821P. Sturma2.0011811113WAug 26 · 12:10P. Sturma1.73128981R. Sedivy2.00101111113LAug 26 · 11:09R. Sedivy2.75711761J. Sindler1.4011611113LAug 26 · 09:40O. Vaclahovsky2.201211133R. Sedivy1.61106110
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