TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12359917
Played Aug 4Finished
Lukas Zustina
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6117111113––––
Peter Chvojka
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:45 and never touched — 72.2% is still 72.2%
Graded at full timeLukas Zustina to win
72.2%
72.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLukas Zustina above · Peter Chvojka below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 59 set 3, 11-13 — our read held Lukas Zustina at 72.2%
59 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Zustina 1–0 Peter Chvojka Peter Chvojka has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:45What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Zustina
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Zustina 1387 vs Chvojka 1264
Zustina
Wrong
both rated, 123 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zustina 20% vs Chvojka 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zustina 30% vs Chvojka 10%
Zustina
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zustina -2 · Chvojka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Zustina) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chvojka form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZustina 1.67 / Chvojka 2.10
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Zustina)+7.0pp
TT Cup · #12359917
Zustina1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite44% won 11 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it60% 6 of 10
Chvojka2.10
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog33% won 34 of 103
Down 0–1, comes back16% 9 of 58
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeZustina1wins
AwayChvojka0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderZustina leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricZustinaChvojkaZ − CBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match46.045.0+1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZustinaChvojkaBasisWin rate · lifetime40 / 84 vs 113 / 24647.6%45.9%40 / 84 vs 113 / 246Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZustinaZustina 1.67/Chvojka 2.10
Miss
What we said
62.8%
Zustina · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Chvojka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 9 · 10:45L. Zustina—391111123P. Chvojka—111158102
L. Zustina10
WSep 3 · 16:48F. Mandrysz2.10111169122L. Zustina1.67731111143LSep 3 · 15:45J. Jnr2.10511711113L. Zustina1.6711611652LSep 3 · 15:15F. Mandrysz2.1011111111113L. Zustina1.6713881382WSep 3 · 14:15L. Zustina1.7312118113L. Jr2.001091131WSep 3 · 12:45L. Zustina1.28115114113R. Sedivy3.5051191172WSep 3 · 12:15L. Zustina1.611111113R. Sedivy2.209880LSep 3 · 10:45J. Sindler2.10911811143L. Zustina1.67112117122LSep 3 · 10:15R. Jancak1.7311511113L. Zustina2.00611841WAug 4 · 16:43P. Chvojka1.7363100L. Zustina2.001111123LAug 4 · 14:45P. Jokiel1.911181212113L. Zustina1.80611141062
P. Chvojka10
LSep 4 · 12:50M. Lorenc1.57812114113P. Chvojka2.25111081192LSep 4 · 12:15O. Vaclahovsky1.80111192113P. Chvojka1.9179111192LSep 4 · 11:15P. Chvojka2.00711991J. Sevecek1.7311611113LSep 4 · 09:45M. Lorenc1.731111143P. Chvojka2.0067120WSep 3 · 21:13P. Chvojka1.739111110113T. Ogrocki2.0011891242LSep 3 · 20:10O. Vaclahovsky1.731011611113P. Chvojka2.0012811762WSep 3 · 19:10P. Chvojka2.001110118113I. Jemelka1.7321231152WSep 3 · 17:40T. Ogrocki2.0071131162P. Chvojka1.73117118113LSep 1 · 01:10P. Chvojka1.577480J. Matus2.251111113LAug 4 · 16:43P. Chvojka1.7363100L. Zustina2.001111123
Upcoming Matches
L. Zustina
Nothing scheduled
P. Chvojka
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