TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12361657
Played Aug 4Finished
Peter Chvojka
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6113111012––––
Lukas Zustina
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingPeter Chvojka above · Lukas Zustina below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 53 set 3, 10-12
53 points played in total.
H2H Peter Chvojka 1–1 Lukas Zustina Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zustina)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zustina form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChvojka 1.73 / Zustina 2.00
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Zustina)+7.7pp
TT Cup · #12361657
Chvojka1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite48% won 27 of 56
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it70% 23 of 33
Zustina2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog54% won 14 of 26
Down 0–1, comes back29% 4 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back22% 2 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeChvojka1wins
AwayZustina1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricChvojkaZustinaC − ZBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match40.035.0+5.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChvojkaZustinaBasisWin rate · lifetime114 / 247 vs 40 / 8546.2%47.1%114 / 247 vs 40 / 85Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.336.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZustinaChvojka 1.73/Zustina 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Zustina · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zustina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 4 · 16:15P. Chvojka—1111133L. Zustina—67110
LJul 9 · 10:45P. Chvojka—111158102L. Zustina—391111123
P. Chvojka10
LSep 4 · 12:50M. Lorenc1.57812114113P. Chvojka2.25111081192LSep 4 · 12:15O. Vaclahovsky1.80111192113P. Chvojka1.9179111192LSep 4 · 11:15P. Chvojka2.00711991J. Sevecek1.7311611113LSep 4 · 09:45M. Lorenc1.731111143P. Chvojka2.0067120WSep 3 · 21:13P. Chvojka1.739111110113T. Ogrocki2.0011891242LSep 3 · 20:10O. Vaclahovsky1.731011611113P. Chvojka2.0012811762WSep 3 · 19:10P. Chvojka2.001110118113I. Jemelka1.7321231152WSep 3 · 17:40T. Ogrocki2.0071131162P. Chvojka1.73117118113LSep 1 · 01:10P. Chvojka1.577480J. Matus2.251111113LAug 31 · 23:40O. Vaclahovsky1.801112117113P. Chvojka1.91910131172
L. Zustina10
WSep 3 · 16:48F. Mandrysz2.10111169122L. Zustina1.67731111143LSep 3 · 15:45J. Jnr2.10511711113L. Zustina1.6711611652LSep 3 · 15:15F. Mandrysz2.1011111111113L. Zustina1.6713881382WSep 3 · 14:15L. Zustina1.7312118113L. Jr2.001091131WSep 3 · 12:45L. Zustina1.28115114113R. Sedivy3.5051191172WSep 3 · 12:15L. Zustina1.611111113R. Sedivy2.209880LSep 3 · 10:45J. Sindler2.10911811143L. Zustina1.67112117122LSep 3 · 10:15R. Jancak1.7311511113L. Zustina2.00611841LAug 4 · 16:15L. Zustina1.6767110P. Chvojka2.101111133LAug 4 · 14:45P. Jokiel1.911181212113L. Zustina1.80611141062
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