TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13068139
Played Sep 3Finished
Richard Jancak
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116511118114––
Lukas Zustina
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRichard Jancak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRichard Jancak above · Lukas Zustina below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 67 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Richard Jancak at 54.0%
67 points played in total.
H2H Richard Jancak 1–0 Lukas Zustina Lukas Zustina has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:38What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Jancak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Jancak 1281 vs Zustina 1379
Zustina
Wrong
both rated, 98 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jancak 0% vs Zustina 40%
Zustina
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jancak 30% vs Zustina 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jancak -5 · Zustina +1
Jancak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jancak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jancak form (0%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJancak 1.73 / Zustina 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Jancak)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13068139
Jancak1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 64 of 116
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it66% 38 of 58
Zustina2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog57% won 12 of 21
Down 0–1, comes back33% 4 of 12
Down 0–2, comes back25% 2 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeJancak1wins
AwayZustina0wins
Jancak leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricJancakZustinaJ − ZBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match42.033.0+9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJancakZustinaBasisWin rate · lifetime132 / 263 vs 41 / 8650.2%47.7%132 / 263 vs 41 / 86Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.536.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JancakJancak 1.73/Zustina 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Jancak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Jancak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 30 · 10:40R. Jancak—81211113L. Zustina—1110571
R. Jancak10
LSep 6 · 20:49R. Jancak1.53611991L. Jr2.3811611113WSep 6 · 19:45L. Jr2.2511931182R. Jancak1.57811119113LSep 6 · 19:15J. Oleksik2.00111169113R. Jancak1.7356111152LSep 6 · 18:15R. Jancak1.8364111192M. Dolezal1.83111197113LSep 6 · 16:50F. Mandrysz1.5111119123R. Jancak2.378311101LSep 6 · 16:15R. Jancak2.20311651F. Mandrysz1.6111911113LSep 6 · 14:45J. Sindler2.208111011113R. Jancak1.6111612942LSep 6 · 14:15M. Sobota2.50111110113R. Jancak1.50761261LSep 3 · 13:13R. Jancak2.00781171J. Sindler1.7311119113WSep 3 · 11:45J. Sindler1.61121145102R. Jancak2.201061111123
L. Zustina10
WSep 3 · 16:48F. Mandrysz2.10111169122L. Zustina1.67731111143LSep 3 · 15:45J. Jnr2.10511711113L. Zustina1.6711611652LSep 3 · 15:15F. Mandrysz2.1011111111113L. Zustina1.6713881382WSep 3 · 14:15L. Zustina1.7312118113L. Jr2.001091131WSep 3 · 12:45L. Zustina1.28115114113R. Sedivy3.5051191172WSep 3 · 12:15L. Zustina1.611111113R. Sedivy2.209880LSep 3 · 10:45J. Sindler2.10911811143L. Zustina1.67112117122WAug 4 · 16:43P. Chvojka1.7363100L. Zustina2.001111123LAug 4 · 16:15L. Zustina1.6767110P. Chvojka2.101111133LAug 4 · 14:45P. Jokiel1.911181212113L. Zustina1.80611141062
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