TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13070279
Played Sep 3Finished
Lukas Zustina
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210119811113––
Lukas Krupnik Jr
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:17 and never touched — 58.2% is still 58.2%
Graded at full timeLukas Krupnik Jr to win
58.2%
58.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLukas Zustina above · Lukas Krupnik Jr below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 75 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Lukas Krupnik Jr at 58.2%
75 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:17What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Zustina
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Zustina 1364 vs Jr 1365
Jr
Wrong
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zustina 60% vs Jr 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zustina 40% vs Jr 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zustina +2 · Jr +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zustina) · live re-read · sealed at 42% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZustina 1.73 / Jr 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Zustina)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13070279
Zustina1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite30% won 7 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it50% 4 of 8
Jr2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog53% won 82 of 155
Down 0–1, comes back39% 26 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back14% 4 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricZustinaJrBasisWin rate · lifetime43 / 90 vs 222 / 41947.8%53%43 / 90 vs 222 / 419Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.940.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZustinaZustina 1.73/Jr 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Zustina · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zustina won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
L. Zustina10
WSep 3 · 16:48F. Mandrysz2.10111169122L. Zustina1.67731111143LSep 3 · 15:45J. Jnr2.10511711113L. Zustina1.6711611652LSep 3 · 15:15F. Mandrysz2.1011111111113L. Zustina1.6713881382WSep 3 · 12:45L. Zustina1.28115114113R. Sedivy3.5051191172WSep 3 · 12:15L. Zustina1.611111113R. Sedivy2.209880LSep 3 · 10:45J. Sindler2.10911811143L. Zustina1.67112117122LSep 3 · 10:15R. Jancak1.7311511113L. Zustina2.00611841WAug 4 · 16:43P. Chvojka1.7363100L. Zustina2.001111123LAug 4 · 16:15L. Zustina1.6767110P. Chvojka2.101111133LAug 4 · 14:45P. Jokiel1.911181212113L. Zustina1.80611141062
L. Jr10
WSep 6 · 20:49R. Jancak1.53611991L. Jr2.3811611113LSep 6 · 19:45L. Jr2.2511931182R. Jancak1.57811119113LSep 6 · 18:45L. Jr1.839790M. Dolezal1.831111113LSep 6 · 17:45L. Jr1.8379111172J. Oleksik1.83111176113LSep 5 · 09:10F. Mandrysz1.721111113L. Jr2.008860WSep 5 · 07:40L. Jr1.83113911133M. Sobota1.83211117112LSep 5 · 06:40L. Jr1.8311701182F. Mandrysz1.83811119113WSep 5 · 05:40L. Jr1.91111198113L. Stempak1.8077111192LSep 3 · 17:18L. Jr1.73117311102J. Jnr2.00411118123WSep 3 · 16:15L. Jr2.00711116113F. Mandrysz1.7311391142
Upcoming Matches
L. Zustina
Nothing scheduled
L. Jr
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