TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13020550
Played Aug 26Finished
Radek Sedivy
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–2Last 3Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711118811211––
Patrik Sturma
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:38 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeRadek Sedivy to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRadek Sedivy above · Patrik Sturma below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 2-11
Point 69 set 4, 2-11 — our read held Radek Sedivy at 59.3%
69 points played in total.
H2H Radek Sedivy 1–1 Patrik Sturma Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:38What took a side1 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Sedivy
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Sedivy 33% vs Sturma 20%
—
Too close
13pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sedivy 33% vs Sturma 20%
—
Too close
13pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sedivy +1 · Sturma -4
Sturma
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sedivy) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sturma form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSedivy 1.73 / Sturma 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sedivy)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13020550
Sedivy1.73
33%won 1 of 3 · last 10
oldest → newest
0%takes the first set · 0 of 3
Sturma2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog50% won 137 of 276
Down 0–1, comes back40% 55 of 136
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSedivy1wins
AwaySturma1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSedivySturmaSedivy − SturmaBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match35.539.0−3.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSedivySturmaBasisWin rate · lifetime0 / 3 vs 392 / 80833.3%48.5%0 / 3 vs 392 / 808Avg sets wonper match1.32.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SedivySedivy 1.73/Sturma 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sedivy · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sturma won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 26 · 12:40R. Sedivy—711821P. Sturma—11811113
WAug 26 · 12:10R. Sedivy—101111113P. Sturma—128981
R. Sedivy7
LSep 3 · 12:45L. Zustina1.28115114113R. Sedivy3.5051191172LSep 3 · 12:15L. Zustina1.611111113R. Sedivy2.209880LSep 3 · 11:15R. Sedivy2.007650R. Jancak1.731111113LSep 3 · 09:45J. Sindler1.4471112113R. Sedivy2.631141091WAug 26 · 12:10P. Sturma1.73128981R. Sedivy2.00101111113LAug 26 · 11:09R. Sedivy2.75711761J. Sindler1.4011611113LAug 26 · 09:40O. Vaclahovsky2.201211133R. Sedivy1.61106110
P. Sturma10
LSep 2 · 13:15P. Sturma1.531061171Z. Chovancik2.3812117113WSep 2 · 11:40P. Sturma2.10511811113F. Mandrysz1.6711511692WSep 2 · 10:40P. Sturma1.73511611143Z. Chovancik2.00114118122WSep 2 · 09:40P. Sturma1.83811911113R. Zajac1.8311711962LSep 1 · 17:15P. Sturma—3790J. Matus—1111113WSep 1 · 16:15P. Sturma1.9191211113J. Matus1.801110851WSep 1 · 14:45J. Jnr2.2012750P. Sturma1.611411113WSep 1 · 14:15L. Jr1.53731161P. Sturma2.3811115113LAug 30 · 17:10J. Sindler1.531111113P. Sturma2.389930LAug 26 · 12:10P. Sturma1.73128981R. Sedivy2.00101111113
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