TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13067012
Played Sep 3Finished
Jaroslav Sindler
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
7111141210119––
Radek Sedivy
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
1–3Last 4Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:59 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeRadek Sedivy to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJaroslav Sindler above · Radek Sedivy below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 75 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Radek Sedivy at 54.9%
75 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Sindler 1–0 Radek Sedivy Radek Sedivy has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:59What took a side0 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Sindler
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Sindler 20% vs Sedivy 25%
—
Too close
5pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sindler 30% vs Sedivy 25%
—
Too close
5pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sindler -2 · Sedivy -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Sindler) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sedivy form (25%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSindler 1.44 / Sedivy 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Sindler)-0.0pp
TT Cup · #13067012
Sindler1.44
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite49% won 127 of 260
Up 2–0, closes it92% 44 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it68% 83 of 123
Sedivy2.63
25%won 1 of 4 · last 10
oldest → newest
0%takes the first set · 0 of 4
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSindler1wins
AwaySedivy0wins
Sindler leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSindlerSedivySindler − SedivyBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match39.031.0+8.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSindlerSedivyBasisWin rate · lifetime375 / 738 vs 1 / 450.8%25%375 / 738 vs 1 / 4Avg sets wonper match2.11.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SindlerSindler 1.44/Sedivy 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Sindler · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sindler won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 26 · 11:09J. Sindler—11611113R. Sedivy—711761
J. Sindler10
LSep 6 · 17:18J. Sindler1.67711791M. Sobota2.1011911113WSep 6 · 15:45J. Sindler1.6713101115113M. Sobota2.10151291372WSep 6 · 14:45J. Sindler2.208111011113R. Jancak1.6111612942WSep 6 · 13:45J. Sindler1.73126115113F. Mandrysz2.00101191172WSep 5 · 16:43J. Sindler1.80811411123D. Stefek1.91119119102LSep 5 · 16:10M. Lorenc1.8012911113J. Sindler1.911011571LSep 5 · 15:10J. Sindler2.508560O. Skvor1.501111113WSep 5 · 13:40D. Stefek1.67116111152J. Sindler2.10611913113WSep 3 · 13:13R. Jancak2.00781171J. Sindler1.7311119113LSep 3 · 11:45J. Sindler1.61121145102R. Jancak2.201061111123
R. Sedivy7
LSep 3 · 12:45L. Zustina1.28115114113R. Sedivy3.5051191172LSep 3 · 12:15L. Zustina1.611111113R. Sedivy2.209880LSep 3 · 11:15R. Sedivy2.007650R. Jancak1.731111113LAug 26 · 12:40R. Sedivy1.73711821P. Sturma2.0011811113WAug 26 · 12:10P. Sturma1.73128981R. Sedivy2.00101111113LAug 26 · 11:09R. Sedivy2.75711761J. Sindler1.4011611113LAug 26 · 09:40O. Vaclahovsky2.201211133R. Sedivy1.61106110
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