TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13106136
Played Sep 10Finished
Tadeas Slivka
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
112511711811––
Filip Mandrysz
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:13 and never touched — 60.4% is still 60.4%
Graded at full timeFilip Mandrysz to win
60.4%
60.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTadeas Slivka above · Filip Mandrysz below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 66 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Filip Mandrysz at 60.4%
66 points played in total.
H2H Tadeas Slivka 3–9 Filip Mandrysz Tadeas Slivka has won 3 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:13What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Mandrysz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-9 in 12
Mandrysz
Correct
gap of 6 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slivka 1289 vs Mandrysz 1323
Mandrysz
Correct
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slivka 20% vs Mandrysz 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slivka 30% vs Mandrysz 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Slivka -4 · Mandrysz +1
Slivka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Mandrysz) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mandrysz form (20%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlivka 2.75 / Mandrysz 1.40
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Mandrysz)+4.4pp
TT Cup · #13106136
Slivka2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog36% won 11 of 31
Down 0–1, comes back16% 3 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back14% 2 of 14
Mandrysz1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 76 of 135
Up 2–0, closes it95% 39 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it71% 52 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSlivka2wins
AwayMandrysz8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderMandrysz leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlivka50%2 of 4
AwayMandrysz100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slivka4Mandrysz6n = 10Mandrysz took 6 of 10
S2Slivka3Mandrysz7n = 10Mandrysz took 7 of 10
S3Slivka2Mandrysz8n = 10Mandrysz took 8 of 10
S4Slivka0Mandrysz5n = 5Mandrysz took 5 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricSlivkaMandryszS − MBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match29.537.1−7.6per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlivkaMandryszBasisWin rate · lifetime64 / 134 vs 218 / 43447.8%50.2%64 / 134 vs 218 / 434Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MandryszSlivka 2.75/Mandrysz 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.7%
Mandrysz · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Mandrysz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 06:10T. Slivka—115781F. Mandrysz—21111113
WSep 7 · 08:44T. Slivka—111269113F. Mandrysz—910111192
LSep 7 · 08:15T. Slivka—9390F. Mandrysz—1111113
LJul 27 · 08:45T. Slivka—9510F. Mandrysz—1111113
LJul 27 · 08:15T. Slivka—7470F. Mandrysz—1111113
LJul 20 · 09:15T. Slivka—91290F. Mandrysz—1114113
LJul 20 · 06:45T. Slivka—531181F. Mandrysz—11116113
LMay 6 · 09:20T. Slivka—1118101F. Mandrysz—91111123
WMay 6 · 08:10T. Slivka—1211113F. Mandrysz—10690
LApr 2 · 07:45T. Slivka—1311971F. Mandrysz—15711113
T. Slivka10
LSep 10 · 07:40J. Matus1.83121111113T. Slivka1.83148461LSep 10 · 07:10R. Zajac2.501112113T. Slivka1.5071090LSep 7 · 12:44P. Chvojka1.4411811113T. Slivka2.63511341LSep 7 · 12:15T. Slivka2.208870P. Chvojka1.611111113LSep 7 · 10:45O. Vaclahovsky2.2511118113T. Slivka1.57541131LSep 7 · 10:15L. Jr2.001211811113T. Slivka1.7314611792WSep 7 · 08:44F. Mandrysz1.28910111192T. Slivka3.50111269113LSep 7 · 08:15T. Slivka3.409390F. Mandrysz1.301111113LSep 7 · 06:45A. Strelec2.0011912113T. Slivka1.735111071WSep 7 · 06:15L. Snr2.1014461192T. Slivka1.671211118113
F. Mandrysz10
WSep 9 · 08:50J. Sindler1.83311381F. Mandrysz1.8311511113LSep 9 · 08:15J. Matus1.80111198113F. Mandrysz1.9175111142LSep 9 · 07:15F. Mandrysz1.67112881A. Strelec2.1061111113LSep 9 · 05:45J. Sindler1.731111113F. Mandrysz2.002960LSep 7 · 08:44F. Mandrysz1.28910111192T. Slivka3.50111269113WSep 7 · 08:15T. Slivka3.409390F. Mandrysz1.301111113LSep 7 · 07:15F. Mandrysz2.10128911112L. Snr1.671011117133LSep 7 · 05:45A. Strelec2.3811114113F. Mandrysz1.53671131WSep 6 · 16:50F. Mandrysz1.5111119123R. Jancak2.378311101WSep 6 · 16:15R. Jancak2.20311651F. Mandrysz1.6111911113
Upcoming Matches
T. Slivka
Nothing scheduled
F. Mandrysz
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