TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13089652
Played Sep 7Finished
Tadeas Slivka
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811811711––––
Peter Chvojka
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:49 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timePeter Chvojka to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTadeas Slivka above · Peter Chvojka below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 56 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Peter Chvojka at 54.9%
56 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:49What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Chvojka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Slivka 1330 vs Chvojka 1248
Slivka
Wrong
both rated, 82 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slivka 20% vs Chvojka 0%
Slivka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slivka 40% vs Chvojka 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Slivka -2 · Chvojka -5
Chvojka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Chvojka) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chvojka form (0%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlivka 2.20 / Chvojka 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 59%
Edge (Chvojka)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13089652
Slivka2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog39% won 11 of 28
Down 0–1, comes back24% 4 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back23% 3 of 13
Chvojka1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite47% won 35 of 75
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it74% 29 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlivkaChvojkaBasisWin rate · lifetime64 / 131 vs 133 / 29548.9%45.1%64 / 131 vs 133 / 295Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChvojkaSlivka 2.20/Chvojka 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.5%
Chvojka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Chvojka won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
T. Slivka10
LSep 7 · 12:44P. Chvojka1.4411811113T. Slivka2.63511341LSep 7 · 10:45O. Vaclahovsky2.2511118113T. Slivka1.57541131LSep 7 · 10:15L. Jr2.001211811113T. Slivka1.7314611792WSep 7 · 08:44F. Mandrysz1.28910111192T. Slivka3.50111269113LSep 7 · 08:15T. Slivka3.409390F. Mandrysz1.301111113LSep 7 · 06:45A. Strelec2.0011912113T. Slivka1.735111071WSep 7 · 06:15L. Snr2.1014461192T. Slivka1.671211118113LAug 20 · 17:10D. Stefek1.571311113T. Slivka2.2511660WAug 20 · 15:40L. Jr2.00119981T. Slivka1.7371111113WAug 20 · 15:10R. Zajac2.75116111082T. Slivka1.40811912113
P. Chvojka10
WSep 7 · 12:44P. Chvojka1.4411811113T. Slivka2.63511341LSep 7 · 11:15P. Chvojka1.67812881L. Jr2.10111011113LSep 7 · 09:45O. Vaclahovsky1.80118119133P. Chvojka1.91411811112LSep 4 · 12:50M. Lorenc1.57812114113P. Chvojka2.25111081192LSep 4 · 12:15O. Vaclahovsky1.80111192113P. Chvojka1.9179111192LSep 4 · 11:15P. Chvojka2.00711991J. Sevecek1.7311611113LSep 4 · 09:45M. Lorenc1.731111143P. Chvojka2.0067120WSep 3 · 21:13P. Chvojka1.739111110113T. Ogrocki2.0011891242LSep 3 · 20:10O. Vaclahovsky1.731011611113P. Chvojka2.0012811762WSep 3 · 19:10P. Chvojka2.001110118113I. Jemelka1.7321231152
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