TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13089644
Played Sep 7Finished
Peter Chvojka
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8111210811811––
Lukas Krupnik Jr
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:50 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timePeter Chvojka to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPeter Chvojka above · Lukas Krupnik Jr below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 79 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Peter Chvojka at 58.9%
79 points played in total.
H2H Peter Chvojka 3–1 Lukas Krupnik Jr Lukas Krupnik Jr has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:50What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Chvojka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Chvojka
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chvojka 1257 vs Jr 1329
Jr
Correct
both rated, 72 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chvojka 0% vs Jr 40%
Jr
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chvojka 30% vs Jr 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Chvojka -5 · Jr +2
Chvojka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Chvojka) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chvojka form (0%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChvojka 1.67 / Jr 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Chvojka)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13089644
Chvojka1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite47% won 35 of 75
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it74% 29 of 39
Jr2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog53% won 83 of 158
Down 0–1, comes back39% 26 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back14% 4 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeChvojka3wins
AwayJr1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderChvojka leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChvojka100%3 of 3
AwayJrn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chvojka3Jr1n = 4Chvojka took 3 of 4
S2Chvojka2Jr2n = 4split evenly
S3Chvojka2Jr2n = 4split evenly
S4Chvojka2Jr1n = 3Chvojka took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricChvojkaJrC − JBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match43.036.0+7.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChvojkaJrBasisWin rate · lifetime133 / 294 vs 228 / 43245.2%52.8%133 / 294 vs 228 / 432Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.440.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChvojkaChvojka 1.67/Jr 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Chvojka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 28 · 16:10P. Chvojka—1181211123L. Jr—411143102
LAug 27 · 12:10P. Chvojka—9131371L. Jr—111115113
WAug 11 · 17:15P. Chvojka—1111133L. Jr—68110
WAug 11 · 15:45P. Chvojka—11811113L. Jr—311961
P. Chvojka10
WSep 7 · 12:44P. Chvojka1.4411811113T. Slivka2.63511341WSep 7 · 12:15T. Slivka2.208870P. Chvojka1.611111113LSep 7 · 09:45O. Vaclahovsky1.80118119133P. Chvojka1.91411811112LSep 4 · 12:50M. Lorenc1.57812114113P. Chvojka2.25111081192LSep 4 · 12:15O. Vaclahovsky1.80111192113P. Chvojka1.9179111192LSep 4 · 11:15P. Chvojka2.00711991J. Sevecek1.7311611113LSep 4 · 09:45M. Lorenc1.731111143P. Chvojka2.0067120WSep 3 · 21:13P. Chvojka1.739111110113T. Ogrocki2.0011891242LSep 3 · 20:10O. Vaclahovsky1.731011611113P. Chvojka2.0012811762WSep 3 · 19:10P. Chvojka2.001110118113I. Jemelka1.7321231152
L. Jr10
LSep 7 · 11:45O. Vaclahovsky2.101111113L. Jr1.676990WSep 7 · 10:15L. Jr2.001211811113T. Slivka1.7314611792WSep 6 · 20:49R. Jancak1.53611991L. Jr2.3811611113LSep 6 · 19:45L. Jr2.2511931182R. Jancak1.57811119113LSep 6 · 18:45L. Jr1.839790M. Dolezal1.831111113LSep 6 · 17:45L. Jr1.8379111172J. Oleksik1.83111176113LSep 5 · 09:10F. Mandrysz1.721111113L. Jr2.008860WSep 5 · 07:40L. Jr1.83113911133M. Sobota1.83211117112LSep 5 · 06:40L. Jr1.8311701182F. Mandrysz1.83811119113WSep 5 · 05:40L. Jr1.91111198113L. Stempak1.8077111192
Upcoming Matches
P. Chvojka
Nothing scheduled
L. Jr
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.