TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13092711
Played Sep 7Finished
Peter Chvojka
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115811113114––
Tadeas Slivka
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingPeter Chvojka above · Tadeas Slivka below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 64 set 4, 11-4
64 points played in total.
H2H Peter Chvojka 1–0 Tadeas Slivka Tadeas Slivka has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Chvojka beat Slivka 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Chvojka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slivka form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChvojka 1.44 / Slivka 2.63
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Chvojka)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13092711
Chvojka1.44
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite47% won 35 of 75
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it74% 29 of 39
Slivka2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog39% won 11 of 28
Down 0–1, comes back24% 4 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back23% 3 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeChvojka1wins
AwaySlivka0wins
Chvojka leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricChvojkaSlivkaC − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.023.0+10.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChvojkaSlivkaBasisWin rate · lifetime134 / 296 vs 64 / 13245.3%48.5%134 / 296 vs 64 / 132Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChvojkaChvojka 1.44/Slivka 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.3%
Chvojka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Chvojka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 7 · 12:15P. Chvojka—1111113T. Slivka—8870
P. Chvojka10
WSep 7 · 12:15T. Slivka2.208870P. Chvojka1.611111113LSep 7 · 11:15P. Chvojka1.67812881L. Jr2.10111011113LSep 7 · 09:45O. Vaclahovsky1.80118119133P. Chvojka1.91411811112LSep 4 · 12:50M. Lorenc1.57812114113P. Chvojka2.25111081192LSep 4 · 12:15O. Vaclahovsky1.80111192113P. Chvojka1.9179111192LSep 4 · 11:15P. Chvojka2.00711991J. Sevecek1.7311611113LSep 4 · 09:45M. Lorenc1.731111143P. Chvojka2.0067120WSep 3 · 21:13P. Chvojka1.739111110113T. Ogrocki2.0011891242LSep 3 · 20:10O. Vaclahovsky1.731011611113P. Chvojka2.0012811762WSep 3 · 19:10P. Chvojka2.001110118113I. Jemelka1.7321231152
T. Slivka10
LSep 7 · 12:15T. Slivka2.208870P. Chvojka1.611111113LSep 7 · 10:45O. Vaclahovsky2.2511118113T. Slivka1.57541131LSep 7 · 10:15L. Jr2.001211811113T. Slivka1.7314611792WSep 7 · 08:44F. Mandrysz1.28910111192T. Slivka3.50111269113LSep 7 · 08:15T. Slivka3.409390F. Mandrysz1.301111113LSep 7 · 06:45A. Strelec2.0011912113T. Slivka1.735111071WSep 7 · 06:15L. Snr2.1014461192T. Slivka1.671211118113LAug 20 · 17:10D. Stefek1.571311113T. Slivka2.2511660WAug 20 · 15:40L. Jr2.00119981T. Slivka1.7371111113WAug 20 · 15:10R. Zajac2.75116111082T. Slivka1.40811912113
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