TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13089645
Played Sep 7Finished
Oldrich Vaclahovsky
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115114811113––
Tadeas Slivka
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:50 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeTadeas Slivka to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOldrich Vaclahovsky above · Tadeas Slivka below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 64 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Tadeas Slivka at 58.6%
64 points played in total.
H2H Oldrich Vaclahovsky 1–0 Tadeas Slivka Tadeas Slivka has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:50What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Slivka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Vaclahovsky 1402 vs Slivka 1330
Vaclahovsky
Correct
both rated, 71 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vaclahovsky 80% vs Slivka 40%
Vaclahovsky
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vaclahovsky 70% vs Slivka 40%
Vaclahovsky
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vaclahovsky +1 · Slivka -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Slivka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slivka form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVaclahovsky 2.25 / Slivka 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Slivka)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13089645
Vaclahovsky2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 30 of 66
Down 0–1, comes back27% 9 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 20
Slivka1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite50% won 20 of 40
Up 2–0, closes it86% 6 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it64% 14 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeVaclahovsky1wins
AwaySlivka0wins
Vaclahovsky leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricVaclahovskySlivkaV − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match41.023.0+18.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVaclahovskySlivkaBasisWin rate · lifetime115 / 247 vs 64 / 13146.6%48.9%115 / 247 vs 64 / 131Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlivkaVaclahovsky 2.25/Slivka 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Slivka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vaclahovsky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 7 · 10:45O. Vaclahovsky—11118113T. Slivka—541131
O. Vaclahovsky10
WSep 7 · 11:45O. Vaclahovsky2.101111113L. Jr1.676990WSep 7 · 09:45O. Vaclahovsky1.80118119133P. Chvojka1.91411811112LSep 4 · 13:20O. Vaclahovsky1.7710980J. Sevecek1.871211113WSep 4 · 12:15O. Vaclahovsky1.80111192113P. Chvojka1.9179111192WSep 4 · 10:45M. Lorenc1.731011991O. Vaclahovsky2.0012711113WSep 4 · 10:15J. Sevecek1.73115781O. Vaclahovsky2.0071111113WSep 3 · 20:44I. Jemelka1.8391191192O. Vaclahovsky1.83115116113WSep 3 · 20:10O. Vaclahovsky1.731011611113P. Chvojka2.0012811762LSep 3 · 18:40T. Ogrocki1.6112111113O. Vaclahovsky2.201011871LSep 3 · 18:10I. Jemelka2.101011712113O. Vaclahovsky1.67126111052
T. Slivka10
LSep 7 · 10:15L. Jr2.001211811113T. Slivka1.7314611792WSep 7 · 08:44F. Mandrysz1.28910111192T. Slivka3.50111269113LSep 7 · 08:15T. Slivka3.409390F. Mandrysz1.301111113LSep 7 · 06:45A. Strelec2.0011912113T. Slivka1.735111071WSep 7 · 06:15L. Snr2.1014461192T. Slivka1.671211118113LAug 20 · 17:10D. Stefek1.571311113T. Slivka2.2511660WAug 20 · 15:40L. Jr2.00119981T. Slivka1.7371111113WAug 20 · 15:10R. Zajac2.75116111082T. Slivka1.40811912113LAug 20 · 14:10T. Slivka2.00551761D. Stefek1.73111115113LAug 19 · 12:43T. Slivka1.50971681M. Sobota2.50111114113
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