TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13103088
Played Sep 9Finished
Jaroslav Sindler
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
311115311811––
Filip Mandrysz
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:46 and never touched — 60.7% is still 60.7%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Sindler to win
60.7%
60.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJaroslav Sindler above · Filip Mandrysz below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 63 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Jaroslav Sindler at 60.7%
63 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Sindler 27–17 Filip Mandrysz Filip Mandrysz has won 17 of their 44 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:46What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Mandrysz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-17 in 44
Sindler
Wrong
gap of 10 in 44, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sindler 1377 vs Mandrysz 1308
Sindler
Wrong
both rated, 68 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sindler 40% vs Mandrysz 20%
Sindler
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sindler 60% vs Mandrysz 30%
Sindler
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sindler -2 · Mandrysz -3
Mandrysz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sindler) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mandrysz form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSindler 1.83 / Mandrysz 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sindler)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13103088
Sindler1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Mandrysz1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSindler7wins
AwayMandrysz3wins
9 of 10 to a deciderSindler leads 7–3, and 9 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSindler57.1%4 of 7
AwayMandrysz0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sindler7Mandrysz3n = 10Sindler took 7 of 10
S2Sindler4Mandrysz6n = 10Mandrysz took 6 of 10
S3Sindler3Mandrysz7n = 10Mandrysz took 7 of 10
S4Sindler7Mandrysz3n = 10Sindler took 7 of 10
S5Sindler6Mandrysz3n = 9Sindler took 6 of 9
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home660%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSindlerMandryszS − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match45.945.2+0.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSindlerMandryszBasisWin rate · lifetime386 / 756 vs 216 / 43151.1%50.1%386 / 756 vs 216 / 431Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.237.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SindlerSindler 1.83/Mandrysz 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sindler · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Mandrysz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 13:45J. Sindler—126115113F. Mandrysz—101191172
LSep 1 · 05:40J. Sindler—117101182F. Mandrysz—811129113
WAug 30 · 14:40J. Sindler—148119113F. Mandrysz—121161152
WAug 27 · 07:10J. Sindler—511914113F. Mandrysz—119111242
WAug 3 · 08:15J. Sindler—911811113F. Mandrysz—11711792
LAug 2 · 15:40J. Sindler—11811292F. Mandrysz—611611113
WJul 29 · 17:15J. Sindler—116813113F. Mandrysz—411111162
WJul 29 · 15:45J. Sindler—411811113F. Mandrysz—11511892
WJul 27 · 06:15J. Sindler—11115113F. Mandrysz—881191
LJul 26 · 17:20J. Sindler—11371192F. Mandrysz—911116113
J. Sindler10
LSep 9 · 07:45J. Sindler1.6791111742A. Strelec2.10117411113LSep 9 · 06:45J. Sindler1.7391111752J. Matus2.00119511113WSep 9 · 05:45J. Sindler1.731111113F. Mandrysz2.002960WSep 8 · 09:29P. Sturma3.251011501J. Sindler1.3312711113LSep 8 · 07:45P. Sturma1.8381111113J. Sindler1.83118481WSep 8 · 07:15R. Jancak2.2061350J. Sindler1.611115113WSep 8 · 06:15J. Sindler1.731111113A. Strelec2.009580LSep 6 · 17:18J. Sindler1.67711791M. Sobota2.1011911113WSep 6 · 15:45J. Sindler1.6713101115113M. Sobota2.10151291372WSep 6 · 14:45J. Sindler2.208111011113R. Jancak1.6111612942
F. Mandrysz10
LSep 9 · 08:15J. Matus1.80111198113F. Mandrysz1.9175111142LSep 9 · 07:15F. Mandrysz1.67112881A. Strelec2.1061111113LSep 9 · 05:45J. Sindler1.731111113F. Mandrysz2.002960LSep 7 · 08:44F. Mandrysz1.28910111192T. Slivka3.50111269113WSep 7 · 08:15T. Slivka3.409390F. Mandrysz1.301111113LSep 7 · 07:15F. Mandrysz2.10128911112L. Snr1.671011117133LSep 7 · 05:45A. Strelec2.3811114113F. Mandrysz1.53671131WSep 6 · 16:50F. Mandrysz1.5111119123R. Jancak2.378311101WSep 6 · 16:15R. Jancak2.20311651F. Mandrysz1.6111911113LSep 6 · 15:15F. Mandrysz1.83511911142M. Sobota1.83118118163
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