TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13098010
Played Sep 8Finished
Patrik Sturma
Home
3.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012117511011––
Jaroslav Sindler
Away
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingPatrik Sturma above · Jaroslav Sindler below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 0-11
Point 67 set 4, 0-11
67 points played in total.
H2H Patrik Sturma 50–50 Jaroslav Sindler Dead even across their 100 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Sturma beat Sindler 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Sindler)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sindler form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSturma 3.25 / Sindler 1.33
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Sindler)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13098010
Sturma3.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog50% won 133 of 268
Down 0–1, comes back40% 53 of 134
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 45
Sindler1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite50% won 130 of 259
Up 2–0, closes it90% 44 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it67% 83 of 124
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSturma6wins
AwaySindler4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSturma leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSturman = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySindler37.5%3 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sturma2Sindler8n = 10Sindler took 8 of 10
S2Sturma7Sindler3n = 10Sturma took 7 of 10
S3Sturma5Sindler5n = 10split evenly
S4Sturma6Sindler3n = 9Sturma took 6 of 9
S5Sturma3Sindler2n = 5Sturma took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSturmaSindlerSturma − SindlerBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match41.741.70.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSturmaSindlerBasisWin rate · lifetime406 / 831 vs 385 / 75348.9%51.1%406 / 831 vs 385 / 753Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.540.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SindlerSturma 3.25/Sindler 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.7%
Sindler · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sindler won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 07:45P. Sturma—81111113J. Sindler—118481
LAug 30 · 17:10P. Sturma—9930J. Sindler—1111113
WAug 30 · 15:40P. Sturma—111111113J. Sindler—913971
LAug 26 · 10:10P. Sturma—711111072J. Sindler—116812113
LAug 14 · 13:14P. Sturma—1441191J. Sindler—121113113
WAug 14 · 09:45P. Sturma—8111111113J. Sindler—11813892
WAug 13 · 11:40P. Sturma—4111011113J. Sindler—11512982
WAug 11 · 12:40P. Sturma—61111123J. Sindler—1187101
LAug 11 · 10:15P. Sturma—91111652J. Sindler—119511113
WAug 11 · 09:15P. Sturma—411911113J. Sindler—11911662
P. Sturma10
LSep 8 · 10:15P. Sturma1.911111481R. Jancak1.8051311113WSep 8 · 07:45P. Sturma1.8381111113J. Sindler1.83118481LSep 8 · 06:45P. Sturma2.386115101A. Strelec1.5311811123WSep 8 · 05:45P. Sturma2.10711116113R. Jancak1.6711741192LSep 2 · 13:15P. Sturma1.531061171Z. Chovancik2.3812117113WSep 2 · 11:40P. Sturma2.10511811113F. Mandrysz1.6711511692WSep 2 · 10:40P. Sturma1.73511611143Z. Chovancik2.00114118122WSep 2 · 09:40P. Sturma1.83811911113R. Zajac1.8311711962LSep 1 · 17:15P. Sturma—3790J. Matus—1111113WSep 1 · 16:15P. Sturma1.9191211113J. Matus1.801110851
J. Sindler10
LSep 8 · 07:45P. Sturma1.8381111113J. Sindler1.83118481WSep 8 · 07:15R. Jancak2.2061350J. Sindler1.611115113WSep 8 · 06:15J. Sindler1.731111113A. Strelec2.009580LSep 6 · 17:18J. Sindler1.67711791M. Sobota2.1011911113WSep 6 · 15:45J. Sindler1.6713101115113M. Sobota2.10151291372WSep 6 · 14:45J. Sindler2.208111011113R. Jancak1.6111612942WSep 6 · 13:45J. Sindler1.73126115113F. Mandrysz2.00101191172WSep 5 · 16:43J. Sindler1.80811411123D. Stefek1.91119119102LSep 5 · 16:10M. Lorenc1.8012911113J. Sindler1.911011571LSep 5 · 15:10J. Sindler2.508560O. Skvor1.501111113
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