TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13095353
Played Sep 8Finished
Richard Jancak
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6111315511––––
Jaroslav Sindler
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:48 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Sindler to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRichard Jancak above · Jaroslav Sindler below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 13-15
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 61 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Jaroslav Sindler at 59.7%
61 points played in total.
H2H Richard Jancak 10–20 Jaroslav Sindler Richard Jancak has won 10 of their 30 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:48What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Sindler
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-20 in 30
Sindler
Correct
gap of 10 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jancak 1193 vs Sindler 1388
Sindler
Correct
both rated, 195 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jancak 20% vs Sindler 80%
Sindler
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jancak 10% vs Sindler 70%
Sindler
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jancak -2 · Sindler +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Sindler) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sindler form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJancak 2.20 / Sindler 1.61
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Sindler)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13095353
Jancak2.20
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog44% won 44 of 99
Down 0–1, comes back33% 19 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 28
Sindler1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite50% won 130 of 259
Up 2–0, closes it90% 44 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it67% 83 of 124
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJancak2wins
AwaySindler8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSindler leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJancak33.3%1 of 3
AwaySindler85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jancak3Sindler7n = 10Sindler took 7 of 10
S2Jancak3Sindler7n = 10Sindler took 7 of 10
S3Jancak3Sindler7n = 10Sindler took 7 of 10
S4Jancak2Sindler5n = 7Sindler took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricJancakSindlerJ − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.839.6−5.8per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJancakSindlerBasisWin rate · lifetime136 / 277 vs 385 / 75349.1%51.1%136 / 277 vs 385 / 753Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.440.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SindlerJancak 2.20/Sindler 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Sindler · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sindler won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 07:15R. Jancak—61350J. Sindler—1115113
LSep 6 · 14:45R. Jancak—11612942J. Sindler—8111011113
LSep 3 · 13:13R. Jancak—781171J. Sindler—11119113
WSep 3 · 11:45R. Jancak—1061111123J. Sindler—121145102
LAug 30 · 13:40R. Jancak—7870J. Sindler—1111113
LAug 15 · 09:20R. Jancak—5990J. Sindler—1111113
LAug 15 · 07:15R. Jancak—811261J. Sindler—11911113
LAug 13 · 07:40R. Jancak—311981J. Sindler—11811113
WJul 30 · 13:23R. Jancak—111110113J. Sindler—981261
LJul 30 · 10:10R. Jancak—11121191J. Sindler—21413113
R. Jancak10
WSep 8 · 08:15A. Strelec1.731212111172R. Jancak2.00141458113LSep 8 · 05:45P. Sturma2.10711116113R. Jancak1.6711741192LSep 6 · 20:49R. Jancak1.53611991L. Jr2.3811611113WSep 6 · 19:45L. Jr2.2511931182R. Jancak1.57811119113LSep 6 · 19:15J. Oleksik2.00111169113R. Jancak1.7356111152LSep 6 · 18:15R. Jancak1.8364111192M. Dolezal1.83111197113LSep 6 · 16:50F. Mandrysz1.5111119123R. Jancak2.378311101LSep 6 · 16:15R. Jancak2.20311651F. Mandrysz1.6111911113LSep 6 · 14:45J. Sindler2.208111011113R. Jancak1.6111612942LSep 6 · 14:15M. Sobota2.50111110113R. Jancak1.50761261
J. Sindler10
LSep 8 · 07:45P. Sturma1.8381111113J. Sindler1.83118481WSep 8 · 06:15J. Sindler1.731111113A. Strelec2.009580LSep 6 · 17:18J. Sindler1.67711791M. Sobota2.1011911113WSep 6 · 15:45J. Sindler1.6713101115113M. Sobota2.10151291372WSep 6 · 14:45J. Sindler2.208111011113R. Jancak1.6111612942WSep 6 · 13:45J. Sindler1.73126115113F. Mandrysz2.00101191172WSep 5 · 16:43J. Sindler1.80811411123D. Stefek1.91119119102LSep 5 · 16:10M. Lorenc1.8012911113J. Sindler1.911011571LSep 5 · 15:10J. Sindler2.508560O. Skvor1.501111113WSep 5 · 13:40D. Stefek1.67116111152J. Sindler2.10611913113
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