TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13095320
Played Sep 8Finished
Adam Strelec
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
12141214115118711
Richard Jancak
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:47 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeAdam Strelec to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAdam Strelec above · Richard Jancak below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 105 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Adam Strelec at 54.5%
105 points played in total.
H2H Adam Strelec 3–1 Richard Jancak Richard Jancak has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:47What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Strelec
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Strelec
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strelec 1326 vs Jancak 1193
Strelec
Wrong
both rated, 133 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strelec 40% vs Jancak 20%
Strelec
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strelec 50% vs Jancak 10%
Strelec
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Strelec +1 · Jancak -3
Jancak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Strelec)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jancak form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrelec 1.73 / Jancak 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Strelec)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13095320
Strelec1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite52% won 28 of 54
Up 2–0, closes it75% 15 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it67% 18 of 27
Jancak2.00
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog44% won 44 of 99
Down 0–1, comes back33% 19 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeStrelec3wins
AwayJancak1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderStrelec leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrelec75%3 of 4
AwayJancakn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strelec4Jancak0n = 4Strelec took 4 of 4
S2Strelec4Jancak0n = 4Strelec took 4 of 4
S3Strelec1Jancak3n = 4Jancak took 3 of 4
S4Strelec2Jancak1n = 3Strelec took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricStrelecJancakS − JBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set40+4of 4Avg pointsper match40.536.8+3.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrelecJancakBasisWin rate · lifetime107 / 220 vs 136 / 27748.6%49.1%107 / 220 vs 136 / 277Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.439.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrelecStrelec 1.73/Jancak 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Strelec · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Jancak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 22 · 10:40A. Strelec—111210562R. Jancak—9101211113
WAug 17 · 05:40A. Strelec—111112123R. Jancak—6914101
WJul 3 · 08:15A. Strelec—11113113R. Jancak—861161
WJul 2 · 08:10A. Strelec—1114113R. Jancak—41280
A. Strelec10
WSep 8 · 09:00R. Jancak1.83712761A. Strelec1.83111011113WSep 8 · 06:45P. Sturma2.386115101A. Strelec1.5311811123LSep 8 · 06:15J. Sindler1.731111113A. Strelec2.009580LSep 7 · 09:13L. Snr1.73911611113A. Strelec2.0011911872LSep 7 · 07:45A. Strelec1.83711861L. Snr1.8311511113WSep 7 · 06:45A. Strelec2.0011912113T. Slivka1.735111071WSep 7 · 05:45A. Strelec2.3811114113F. Mandrysz1.53671131LSep 2 · 09:25A. Strelec2.10711111072P. Chlad1.65119812113LSep 2 · 08:10A. Strelec1.67913111162L. Snr2.101111137113WSep 2 · 06:40P. Chlad1.6788111192A. Strelec2.10111197113
R. Jancak10
LSep 8 · 09:00R. Jancak1.83712761A. Strelec1.83111011113LSep 8 · 07:15R. Jancak2.2061350J. Sindler1.611115113LSep 8 · 05:45P. Sturma2.10711116113R. Jancak1.6711741192LSep 6 · 20:49R. Jancak1.53611991L. Jr2.3811611113WSep 6 · 19:45L. Jr2.2511931182R. Jancak1.57811119113LSep 6 · 19:15J. Oleksik2.00111169113R. Jancak1.7356111152LSep 6 · 18:15R. Jancak1.8364111192M. Dolezal1.83111197113LSep 6 · 16:50F. Mandrysz1.5111119123R. Jancak2.378311101LSep 6 · 16:15R. Jancak2.20311651F. Mandrysz1.6111911113LSep 6 · 14:45J. Sindler2.208111011113R. Jancak1.6111612942
Upcoming Matches
A. Strelec
Nothing scheduled
R. Jancak
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