TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13106843
Played Sep 10Finished
Radek Zajac
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171210119––––
Tadeas Slivka
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:04 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeTadeas Slivka to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadek Zajac above · Tadeas Slivka below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 60 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Tadeas Slivka at 62.5%
60 points played in total.
H2H Radek Zajac 1–3 Tadeas Slivka Radek Zajac has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:04What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Slivka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Slivka
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zajac 1210 vs Slivka 1263
Slivka
Wrong
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zajac 20% vs Slivka 0%
Zajac
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zajac 20% vs Slivka 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zajac +1 · Slivka -5
Slivka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Slivka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slivka form (0%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZajac 2.50 / Slivka 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Slivka)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13106843
Zajac2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog26% won 6 of 23
Down 0–1, comes back8% 1 of 12
Down 0–2, comes back11% 1 of 9
Slivka1.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite48% won 20 of 42
Up 2–0, closes it83% 5 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it59% 13 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeZajac1wins
AwaySlivka3wins
1 of 4 to a deciderSlivka leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zajac2Slivka2n = 4split evenly
S2Zajac3Slivka1n = 4Zajac took 3 of 4
S3Zajac2Slivka2n = 4split evenly
S4Zajac0Slivka3n = 3Slivka took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricZajacSlivkaZ − SBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match35.540.0−4.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZajacSlivkaBasisWin rate · lifetime11 / 34 vs 64 / 13632.4%47.1%11 / 34 vs 64 / 136Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlivkaZajac 2.50/Slivka 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.5%
Slivka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zajac won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 10 · 07:10R. Zajac—1112113T. Slivka—71090
LAug 20 · 15:10R. Zajac—116111082T. Slivka—811912113
LAug 5 · 12:15R. Zajac—611971T. Slivka—11811113
LJul 7 · 07:15R. Zajac—1011531T. Slivka—12811113
R. Zajac10
WSep 10 · 05:40J. Matus1.447870R. Zajac2.631111113LSep 2 · 12:45F. Mandrysz1.501111113R. Zajac2.504690LSep 2 · 12:10Z. Chovancik1.5711116113R. Zajac2.25571141LSep 2 · 11:10R. Zajac2.38118111262F. Mandrysz1.53511814113LSep 2 · 09:40P. Sturma1.83811911113R. Zajac1.8311711962WAug 20 · 16:40L. Jr1.22611781R. Zajac4.0011511113LAug 20 · 16:10D. Stefek1.6112115113R. Zajac2.201061161LAug 20 · 15:10R. Zajac2.75116111082T. Slivka1.40811912113LAug 20 · 13:40L. Jr1.441111113R. Zajac2.639990LAug 17 · 08:43K. Drozd1.61101111113R. Zajac2.20128871
T. Slivka10
LSep 10 · 07:40J. Matus1.83121111113T. Slivka1.83148461LSep 10 · 06:10T. Slivka2.75115781F. Mandrysz1.4021111113LSep 7 · 12:44P. Chvojka1.4411811113T. Slivka2.63511341LSep 7 · 12:15T. Slivka2.208870P. Chvojka1.611111113LSep 7 · 10:45O. Vaclahovsky2.2511118113T. Slivka1.57541131LSep 7 · 10:15L. Jr2.001211811113T. Slivka1.7314611792WSep 7 · 08:44F. Mandrysz1.28910111192T. Slivka3.50111269113LSep 7 · 08:15T. Slivka3.409390F. Mandrysz1.301111113LSep 7 · 06:45A. Strelec2.0011912113T. Slivka1.735111071WAug 20 · 15:10R. Zajac2.75116111082T. Slivka1.40811912113
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