TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13106139
Played Sep 10Finished
Jiri Matus
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711811711––––
Radek Zajac
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:14 and never touched — 70.8% is still 70.8%
Graded at full timeJiri Matus to win
70.8%
70.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJiri Matus above · Radek Zajac below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 55 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Jiri Matus at 70.8%
55 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:14What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Matus
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Matus 1370 vs Zajac 1163
Matus
Wrong
both rated, 208 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Matus 80% vs Zajac 20%
Matus
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Matus 70% vs Zajac 10%
Matus
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Matus +3 · Zajac -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Matus) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zajac form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMatus 1.44 / Zajac 2.63
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Matus)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13106139
Matus1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite59% won 93 of 159
Up 2–0, closes it96% 42 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it75% 63 of 84
Zajac2.63
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog26% won 6 of 23
Down 0–1, comes back8% 1 of 12
Down 0–2, comes back11% 1 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricMatusZajacBasisWin rate · lifetime213 / 410 vs 9 / 3252%28.1%213 / 410 vs 9 / 32Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match39.036.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MatusMatus 1.44/Zajac 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.3%
Matus · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zajac won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Matus10
WSep 9 · 09:20A. Strelec1.77371171J. Matus1.8711116113WSep 9 · 08:15J. Matus1.80111198113F. Mandrysz1.9175111142WSep 9 · 06:45J. Sindler1.7391111752J. Matus2.00119511113LSep 9 · 06:15A. Strelec1.83119116133J. Matus1.83811411112WSep 1 · 17:15P. Sturma—3790J. Matus—1111113LSep 1 · 16:15P. Sturma1.9191211113J. Matus1.801110851WSep 1 · 15:15J. Matus1.8011119113L. Jr1.91841191WSep 1 · 13:45J. Jnr1.91111291182J. Matus1.801310117113WSep 1 · 01:10P. Chvojka1.577480J. Matus2.251111113LSep 1 · 24:10J. Matus1.7381111562J. Jnr2.00118311113
R. Zajac10
LSep 2 · 12:45F. Mandrysz1.501111113R. Zajac2.504690LSep 2 · 12:10Z. Chovancik1.5711116113R. Zajac2.25571141LSep 2 · 11:10R. Zajac2.38118111262F. Mandrysz1.53511814113LSep 2 · 09:40P. Sturma1.83811911113R. Zajac1.8311711962WAug 20 · 16:40L. Jr1.22611781R. Zajac4.0011511113LAug 20 · 16:10D. Stefek1.6112115113R. Zajac2.201061161LAug 20 · 15:10R. Zajac2.75116111082T. Slivka1.40811912113LAug 20 · 13:40L. Jr1.441111113R. Zajac2.639990LAug 17 · 08:43K. Drozd1.61101111113R. Zajac2.20128871LAug 17 · 07:45L. Snr1.57116211113R. Zajac2.2591111842
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