TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105735
Played Sep 10Finished
Denys Pesternikov
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116116114––––
Oleksandr Bondarchuk
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:31 and never touched — 58.7% is still 58.7%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Bondarchuk to win
58.7%
58.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDenys Pesternikov above · Oleksandr Bondarchuk below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 49 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Oleksandr Bondarchuk at 58.7%
49 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:31What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Bondarchuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Pesternikov 1881 vs Bondarchuk 1933
Bondarchuk
Wrong
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pesternikov 0% vs Bondarchuk 40%
Bondarchuk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pesternikov 50% vs Bondarchuk 70%
Bondarchuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pesternikov -5 · Bondarchuk -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Bondarchuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bondarchuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPesternikov 2.25 / Bondarchuk 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Bondarchuk)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13105735
Pesternikov2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog49% won 98 of 201
Down 0–1, comes back25% 26 of 104
Down 0–2, comes back15% 9 of 59
Bondarchuk1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite71% won 75 of 106
Up 2–0, closes it97% 37 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it86% 54 of 63
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricPesternikovBondarchukBasisWin rate · lifetime589 / 1103 vs 189 / 33853.4%55.9%589 / 1103 vs 189 / 338Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BondarchukPesternikov 2.25/Bondarchuk 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Bondarchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Pesternikov won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
D. Pesternikov10
LSep 10 · 17:24B. Kohut1.6711117113D. Pesternikov2.10791191LSep 10 · 15:25D. Pesternikov4.501117671A. Molochko1.1761911113LSep 10 · 13:55D. Pesternikov5.50116761N. Danyliuk1.1381111113LSep 10 · 12:55D. Pesternikov1.8098121172B. Kohut1.911111107113LSep 8 · 10:55D. Pesternikov1.337380N. Kovalchuk3.251111113LSep 8 · 08:55I. Romaniak2.75721211113D. Pesternikov1.40111110982WSep 8 · 07:55D. Pesternikov1.171111113O. Hura4.508440WSep 8 · 06:55I. Kozachuk2.2511140982D. Pesternikov1.578121111113WSep 8 · 05:25D. Pesternikov1.5011811113S. Rak2.50811461WSep 7 · 17:55I. Romaniak2.7571050D. Pesternikov1.401112113
O. Bondarchuk10
LSep 10 · 14:55O. Bondarchuk2.7511116482N. Danyliuk1.40791111113LSep 10 · 13:25O. Bondarchuk2.63371131A. Molochko1.4411119113LSep 10 · 11:55O. Bondarchuk2.201379121B. Kohut1.61111111143WAug 21 · 17:13I. Hermakivskyi2.751151241O. Bondarchuk1.4061114113WAug 21 · 15:30A. Tkachenko1.803101161O. Bondarchuk1.9111128113WAug 21 · 14:30O. Bondarchuk1.361111113I. Hermakivskyi3.007580WAug 21 · 13:30D. Neborak3.4018111172O. Bondarchuk1.30111179113WAug 21 · 12:30O. Bondarchuk1.2511612113O. Ivchuk3.753111071WAug 13 · 10:44O. Ivchuk3.75115851O. Bondarchuk1.2561111113WAug 13 · 09:35O. Bondarchuk1.3611911113D. Neborak3.00511841
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