TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105722
Played Sep 10Finished
Denys Pesternikov
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9118111210117711
Bohdan Kohut
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:35 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeBohdan Kohut to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDenys Pesternikov above · Bohdan Kohut below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 97 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Bohdan Kohut at 54.0%
97 points played in total.
H2H Denys Pesternikov 8–8 Bohdan Kohut Dead even across their 16 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:35What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Pesternikov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-8 in 16
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pesternikov 1911 vs Kohut 1918
Kohut
Correct
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pesternikov 60% vs Kohut 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pesternikov 70% vs Kohut 40%
Pesternikov
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pesternikov -2 · Kohut +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kohut)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPesternikov 1.80 / Kohut 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Pesternikov)-5.5pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13105722
Pesternikov1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite68% won 229 of 339
Up 2–0, closes it95% 127 of 134
Up 1–0, closes it85% 183 of 215
Kohut1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 115 of 306
Down 0–1, comes back19% 31 of 163
Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 101
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePesternikov5wins
AwayKohut5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePesternikov80%4 of 5
AwayKohut80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pesternikov5Kohut5n = 10split evenly
S2Pesternikov5Kohut5n = 10split evenly
S3Pesternikov4Kohut6n = 10Kohut took 6 of 10
S4Pesternikov4Kohut3n = 7Pesternikov took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPesternikovKohutP − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.636.9−1.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPesternikovKohutBasisWin rate · lifetime589 / 1100 vs 283 / 63853.6%44.4%589 / 1100 vs 283 / 638Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PesternikovPesternikov 1.80/Kohut 1.91
Miss
What we said
54%
Kohut · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kohut won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJan 10 · 10:35D. Pesternikov—119781B. Kohut—91111103
WDec 29 · 08:25D. Pesternikov—1113113B. Kohut—41180
LDec 27 · 08:35D. Pesternikov—74120B. Kohut—1111143
WDec 24 · 07:30D. Pesternikov—12611113B. Kohut—1011791
LDec 23 · 06:55D. Pesternikov—6760B. Kohut—1111113
WDec 22 · 14:25D. Pesternikov—9121110113B. Kohut—111061252
WDec 14 · 22:00D. Pesternikov—11116113B. Kohut—961161
WDec 13 · 06:05D. Pesternikov—111110113B. Kohut—671291
LDec 11 · 22:30D. Pesternikov—67111162B. Kohut—111195113
LDec 9 · 10:25D. Pesternikov—611651B. Kohut—11911113
D. Pesternikov10
LSep 8 · 10:55D. Pesternikov1.337380N. Kovalchuk3.251111113LSep 8 · 08:55I. Romaniak2.75721211113D. Pesternikov1.40111110982WSep 8 · 07:55D. Pesternikov1.171111113O. Hura4.508440WSep 8 · 06:55I. Kozachuk2.2511140982D. Pesternikov1.578121111113WSep 8 · 05:25D. Pesternikov1.5011811113S. Rak2.50811461WSep 7 · 17:55I. Romaniak2.7571050D. Pesternikov1.401112113WSep 7 · 16:55D. Pesternikov1.501311113S. Rak2.5011550WSep 7 · 15:55D. Pesternikov1.2811118113D. Shcherbak3.50941161LSep 7 · 14:25D. Pesternikov1.531061171Y. Kravets2.3812117113WSep 7 · 12:25D. Pesternikov1.301116114113R. Lazebnyi3.4051881182
B. Kohut10
WSep 10 · 11:55O. Bondarchuk2.201379121B. Kohut1.61111111143WSep 8 · 11:35B. Kohut1.25115911113A. Zeniuk3.7571111882LSep 8 · 09:35N. Danyliuk1.3381111113B. Kohut3.25115981WSep 8 · 07:35A. Molochko1.44911118172B. Kohut2.63117511193LSep 8 · 06:35B. Kohut1.73117571D. Zeniuk2.0071111113LSep 8 · 05:35V. Verbyany1.80118148113B. Kohut1.91811121162LSep 7 · 19:05D. Zeniuk2.2511115113B. Kohut1.57571121WSep 7 · 17:35B. Kohut1.2512512113A. Zeniuk3.7510111071LSep 7 · 15:35V. Verbyany1.801113163B. Kohut1.91311140LSep 7 · 13:35A. Molochko1.446111112113B. Kohut2.6311471482
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