TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088737
Played Sep 7Finished
Anton Molochko
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
6111141171214118
Bohdan Kohut
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:13 and never touched — 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timeAnton Molochko to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnton Molochko above · Bohdan Kohut below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 12-14
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 95 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Anton Molochko at 66.1%
95 points played in total.
H2H Anton Molochko 85–32 Bohdan Kohut Bohdan Kohut has won 32 of their 117 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:13What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Molochko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
85-32 in 117
Molochko
Correct
gap of 53 in 117, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Molochko 1950 vs Kohut 1932
Molochko
Correct
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Molochko 80% vs Kohut 20%
Molochko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Molochko 60% vs Kohut 40%
Molochko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Molochko +1 · Kohut -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Molochko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kohut form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMolochko 1.44 / Kohut 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Molochko)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13088737
Molochko1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite62% won 147 of 239
Up 2–0, closes it96% 66 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it84% 106 of 127
Kohut2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 115 of 306
Down 0–1, comes back19% 31 of 164
Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 103
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMolochko8wins
AwayKohut2wins
5 of 10 to a deciderMolochko leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMolochko100%6 of 6
AwayKohut50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Molochko6Kohut4n = 10Molochko took 6 of 10
S2Molochko6Kohut4n = 10Molochko took 6 of 10
S3Molochko6Kohut4n = 10Molochko took 6 of 10
S4Molochko5Kohut3n = 8Molochko took 5 of 8
S5Molochko4Kohut1n = 5Molochko took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMolochkoKohutM − KBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.937.5+5.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMolochkoKohutBasisWin rate · lifetime546 / 931 vs 279 / 62958.7%44.4%546 / 931 vs 279 / 629Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MolochkoMolochko 1.44/Kohut 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.1%
Molochko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Molochko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 23 · 23:00A. Molochko—11811113B. Kohut—711791
LAug 21 · 09:25A. Molochko—101111482B. Kohut—128711113
WAug 20 · 12:55A. Molochko—118411113B. Kohut—81111682
LAug 4 · 07:35A. Molochko—981371B. Kohut—111111113
WAug 3 · 16:58A. Molochko—71113113B. Kohut—1181181
WAug 3 · 14:35A. Molochko—711711133B. Kohut—115112112
WJul 31 · 05:25A. Molochko—1111811113B. Kohut—28111362
WJul 30 · 13:25A. Molochko—119911123B. Kohut—811117102
WJul 28 · 09:58A. Molochko—1111113B. Kohut—6490
WJul 28 · 05:25A. Molochko—1112113B. Kohut—21080
A. Molochko10
WSep 7 · 12:05A. Molochko1.201191210113A. Zeniuk4.33811101272LSep 7 · 01:38N. Danyliuk1.53771114113A. Molochko2.38111181262WSep 7 · 24:30A. Molochko2.20118811123N. Danyliuk1.61811118102WSep 6 · 23:30A. Molochko1.441111113V. Verbyany2.639560WSep 6 · 22:00A. Molochko1.2811117113A. Zeniuk3.50681141LSep 6 · 21:00A. Molochko1.57129751D. Zeniuk2.25101111113LSep 4 · 09:53V. Verbyany2.38101111113A. Molochko1.53127431WSep 4 · 08:55A. Molochko2.201111133N. Danyliuk1.6138110LSep 4 · 07:55A. Molochko1.5751214792V. Verbyany2.2511101211113WSep 4 · 06:25A. Molochko1.67111111113D. Zeniuk2.10137561
B. Kohut10
LSep 7 · 12:35N. Danyliuk1.331111113B. Kohut3.254870WAug 31 · 03:00B. Kohut1.301111113A. Zeniuk3.406840LAug 31 · 01:00N. Danyliuk1.33111111113B. Kohut3.25136661LAug 30 · 23:00A. Molochko1.401081111113B. Kohut2.7512117592LAug 30 · 22:00B. Kohut1.5396110D. Zeniuk2.381111133WAug 30 · 21:00V. Verbyany1.8051161172B. Kohut1.91114118113WAug 25 · 10:08A. Molochko1.44513111172B. Kohut2.631111136113LAug 25 · 09:05B. Kohut2.631511941A. Molochko1.4417711113LAug 25 · 08:05B. Kohut3.408690N. Danyliuk1.301111113WAug 25 · 06:35B. Kohut1.831111113V. Verbyany1.839950
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