TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13005357
Played Aug 25Finished
Bohdan Kohut
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1517117911411––
Anton Molochko
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:52 and never touched — 70.3% is still 70.3%
Graded at full timeAnton Molochko to win
70.3%
70.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingBohdan Kohut above · Anton Molochko below
Set 1 · 15-17
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 85 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Anton Molochko at 70.3%
85 points played in total.
H2H Bohdan Kohut 32–85 Anton Molochko Bohdan Kohut has won 32 of their 117 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:52What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Molochko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
32-85 in 117
Molochko
Correct
gap of 53 in 117, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kohut 1953 vs Molochko 1948
Kohut
Wrong
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kohut 60% vs Molochko 40%
Kohut
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kohut 50% vs Molochko 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kohut -1 · Molochko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Molochko) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Molochko form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKohut 2.63 / Molochko 1.44
Signal prob.32% / 69%
Edge (Molochko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13005357
Kohut2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 118 of 321
Down 0–1, comes back19% 33 of 174
Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 111
Molochko1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 157 of 244
Up 2–0, closes it97% 71 of 73
Up 1–0, closes it88% 113 of 129
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKohut2wins
AwayMolochko8wins
5 of 10 to a deciderMolochko leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKohut50%2 of 4
AwayMolochko100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kohut4Molochko6n = 10Molochko took 6 of 10
S2Kohut4Molochko6n = 10Molochko took 6 of 10
S3Kohut4Molochko6n = 10Molochko took 6 of 10
S4Kohut3Molochko5n = 8Molochko took 5 of 8
S5Kohut1Molochko4n = 5Molochko took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKohutMolochkoK − MBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.542.9−5.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKohutMolochkoBasisWin rate · lifetime276 / 620 vs 539 / 92344.5%58.4%276 / 620 vs 539 / 923Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.737.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MolochkoKohut 2.63/Molochko 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.5%
Molochko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Molochko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 23 · 23:00B. Kohut—711791A. Molochko—11811113
WAug 21 · 09:25B. Kohut—128711113A. Molochko—101111482
LAug 20 · 12:55B. Kohut—81111682A. Molochko—118411113
WAug 4 · 07:35B. Kohut—111111113A. Molochko—981371
LAug 3 · 16:58B. Kohut—1181181A. Molochko—71113113
LAug 3 · 14:35B. Kohut—115112112A. Molochko—711711133
LJul 31 · 05:25B. Kohut—28111362A. Molochko—1111811113
LJul 30 · 13:25B. Kohut—811117102A. Molochko—119911123
LJul 28 · 09:58B. Kohut—6490A. Molochko—1111113
LJul 28 · 05:25B. Kohut—21080A. Molochko—1112113
B. Kohut10
LSep 7 · 12:35N. Danyliuk1.331111113B. Kohut3.254870WAug 31 · 03:00B. Kohut1.301111113A. Zeniuk3.406840LAug 31 · 01:00N. Danyliuk1.33111111113B. Kohut3.25136661LAug 30 · 23:00A. Molochko1.401081111113B. Kohut2.7512117592LAug 30 · 22:00B. Kohut1.5396110D. Zeniuk2.381111133WAug 30 · 21:00V. Verbyany1.8051161172B. Kohut1.91114118113WAug 25 · 10:08A. Molochko1.44513111172B. Kohut2.631111136113LAug 25 · 08:05B. Kohut3.408690N. Danyliuk1.301111113WAug 25 · 06:35B. Kohut1.831111113V. Verbyany1.839950LAug 25 · 05:35B. Kohut1.44121111582D. Zeniuk2.631071311113
A. Molochko10
WSep 7 · 12:05A. Molochko1.201191210113A. Zeniuk4.33811101272LSep 7 · 01:38N. Danyliuk1.53771114113A. Molochko2.38111181262WSep 7 · 24:30A. Molochko2.20118811123N. Danyliuk1.61811118102WSep 6 · 23:30A. Molochko1.441111113V. Verbyany2.639560WSep 6 · 22:00A. Molochko1.2811117113A. Zeniuk3.50681141LSep 6 · 21:00A. Molochko1.57129751D. Zeniuk2.25101111113LSep 4 · 09:53V. Verbyany2.38101111113A. Molochko1.53127431WSep 4 · 08:55A. Molochko2.201111133N. Danyliuk1.6138110WAug 30 · 23:00A. Molochko1.401081111113B. Kohut2.7512117592LAug 25 · 10:08A. Molochko1.44513111172B. Kohut2.631111136113
Upcoming Matches
B. Kohut
A. Molochko
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.