TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13043954
Played Aug 31Finished
Nazar Danyliuk
Home
1.33
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1113116116116––
Bohdan Kohut
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:46 and never touched — 73.3% is still 73.3%
Graded at full timeNazar Danyliuk to win
73.3%
73.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingNazar Danyliuk above · Bohdan Kohut below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 75 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Nazar Danyliuk at 73.3%
75 points played in total.
H2H Nazar Danyliuk 77–31 Bohdan Kohut Bohdan Kohut has won 31 of their 108 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:46What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Danyliuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
77-31 in 108
Danyliuk
Correct
gap of 46 in 108, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Danyliuk 2069 vs Kohut 1939
Danyliuk
Correct
both rated, 130 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Danyliuk 80% vs Kohut 40%
Danyliuk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Danyliuk 70% vs Kohut 50%
Danyliuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Danyliuk +3 · Kohut -2
Danyliuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Danyliuk) · live re-read · sealed at 73% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDanyliuk 1.33 / Kohut 3.25
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Danyliuk)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13043954
Danyliuk1.33
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 157 of 256
Up 2–0, closes it96% 77 of 80
Up 1–0, closes it81% 117 of 144
Kohut3.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog37% won 119 of 321
Down 0–1, comes back19% 33 of 173
Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 109
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDanyliuk8wins
AwayKohut2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderDanyliuk leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDanyliuk100%4 of 4
AwayKohut33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Danyliuk4Kohut6n = 10Kohut took 6 of 10
S2Danyliuk9Kohut1n = 10Danyliuk took 9 of 10
S3Danyliuk6Kohut4n = 10Danyliuk took 6 of 10
S4Danyliuk4Kohut1n = 5Danyliuk took 4 of 5
S5Danyliuk3Kohut1n = 4Danyliuk took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDanyliukKohutD − KBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.934.8+7.1per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDanyliukKohutBasisWin rate · lifetime583 / 960 vs 278 / 62560.7%44.5%583 / 960 vs 278 / 625Avg sets wonper match2.31.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.236.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DanyliukDanyliuk 1.33/Kohut 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.3%
Danyliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Danyliuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 21 · 07:25N. Danyliuk—1111113B. Kohut—8670
WAug 20 · 18:25N. Danyliuk—111112133B. Kohut—13910111
WAug 19 · 23:30N. Danyliuk—1111113B. Kohut—5860
WAug 4 · 05:35N. Danyliuk—1113113B. Kohut—61170
WAug 3 · 13:05N. Danyliuk—912118113B. Kohut—111071162
WJul 31 · 06:25N. Danyliuk—811911123B. Kohut—115115102
LJul 30 · 14:55N. Danyliuk—97120B. Kohut—1111143
WJul 24 · 07:25N. Danyliuk—10111111113B. Kohut—12713732
WJul 23 · 16:25N. Danyliuk—1114133B. Kohut—412110
LJul 21 · 09:35N. Danyliuk—811811112B. Kohut—116118133
N. Danyliuk10
WSep 7 · 12:35N. Danyliuk1.331111113B. Kohut3.254870WSep 7 · 01:38N. Danyliuk1.53771114113A. Molochko2.38111181262LSep 7 · 24:30A. Molochko2.20118811123N. Danyliuk1.61811118102WSep 6 · 23:00N. Danyliuk1.0781113113A. Zeniuk7.501121181WSep 6 · 21:30N. Danyliuk1.501111113V. Verbyany2.507740WSep 6 · 20:00N. Danyliuk1.331511910113D. Zeniuk3.25136111252WSep 4 · 09:31D. Zeniuk8.5048100N. Danyliuk1.051111123LSep 4 · 08:55A. Molochko2.201111133N. Danyliuk1.6138110WSep 4 · 07:25N. Danyliuk1.36121111113D. Zeniuk3.00146751LSep 4 · 05:55N. Danyliuk1.5381191182V. Verbyany2.38114119113
B. Kohut10
LSep 7 · 12:35N. Danyliuk1.331111113B. Kohut3.254870WAug 31 · 03:00B. Kohut1.301111113A. Zeniuk3.406840LAug 30 · 23:00A. Molochko1.401081111113B. Kohut2.7512117592LAug 30 · 22:00B. Kohut1.5396110D. Zeniuk2.381111133WAug 30 · 21:00V. Verbyany1.8051161172B. Kohut1.91114118113WAug 25 · 10:08A. Molochko1.44513111172B. Kohut2.631111136113LAug 25 · 09:05B. Kohut2.631511941A. Molochko1.4417711113LAug 25 · 08:05B. Kohut3.408690N. Danyliuk1.301111113WAug 25 · 06:35B. Kohut1.831111113V. Verbyany1.839950LAug 25 · 05:35B. Kohut1.44121111582D. Zeniuk2.631071311113
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