TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13043866
Played Aug 31Finished
Bohdan Kohut
Home
1.30
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116118114––––
Andrii Zeniuk
Away
3.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:26 and never touched — 76.7% is still 76.7%
Graded at full timeBohdan Kohut to win
76.7%
76.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingBohdan Kohut above · Andrii Zeniuk below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 51 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Bohdan Kohut at 76.7%
51 points played in total.
H2H Bohdan Kohut 15–4 Andrii Zeniuk Andrii Zeniuk has won 4 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:26What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Kohut
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-4 in 19
Kohut
Correct
gap of 11 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kohut 1931 vs Zeniuk 1813
Kohut
Correct
both rated, 119 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kohut 40% vs Zeniuk 20%
Kohut
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kohut 40% vs Zeniuk 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kohut -3 · Zeniuk +1
Kohut
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Kohut)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kohut form (40%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKohut 1.30 / Zeniuk 3.40
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Kohut)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13043866
Kohut1.30
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 41 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it84% 16 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it76% 31 of 41
Zeniuk3.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 52 of 120
Down 0–1, comes back26% 18 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKohut9wins
AwayZeniuk1wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKohut leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKohut100%6 of 6
AwayZeniuk25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kohut6Zeniuk4n = 10Kohut took 6 of 10
S2Kohut5Zeniuk5n = 10split evenly
S3Kohut9Zeniuk1n = 10Kohut took 9 of 10
S4Kohut4Zeniuk4n = 8split evenly
S5Kohut4Zeniuk0n = 4Kohut took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKohutZeniukK − ZBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.437.6+4.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKohutZeniukBasisWin rate · lifetime278 / 626 vs 275 / 49444.4%55.7%278 / 626 vs 275 / 494Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.737.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KohutKohut 1.30/Zeniuk 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.7%
Kohut · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kohut won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 24 · 19:05B. Kohut—1111113A. Zeniuk—5240
WAug 23 · 22:00B. Kohut—31111113A. Zeniuk—117791
WAug 21 · 11:25B. Kohut—1111124123A. Zeniuk—1341011102
WAug 20 · 14:25B. Kohut—1111113A. Zeniuk—5990
WAug 19 · 22:00B. Kohut—6101111113A. Zeniuk—11127342
WAug 4 · 09:35B. Kohut—116117113A. Zeniuk—61191172
WAug 3 · 18:35B. Kohut—16712133A. Zeniuk—141110111
LJul 31 · 09:25B. Kohut—4131081A. Zeniuk—111112113
WJul 30 · 17:55B. Kohut—12611113A. Zeniuk—1011951
WJul 28 · 07:55B. Kohut—1751110113A. Zeniuk—151191262
B. Kohut10
LSep 7 · 12:35N. Danyliuk1.331111113B. Kohut3.254870LAug 31 · 01:00N. Danyliuk1.33111111113B. Kohut3.25136661LAug 30 · 23:00A. Molochko1.401081111113B. Kohut2.7512117592LAug 30 · 22:00B. Kohut1.5396110D. Zeniuk2.381111133WAug 30 · 21:00V. Verbyany1.8051161172B. Kohut1.91114118113WAug 25 · 10:08A. Molochko1.44513111172B. Kohut2.631111136113LAug 25 · 09:05B. Kohut2.631511941A. Molochko1.4417711113LAug 25 · 08:05B. Kohut3.408690N. Danyliuk1.301111113WAug 25 · 06:35B. Kohut1.831111113V. Verbyany1.839950LAug 25 · 05:35B. Kohut1.44121111582D. Zeniuk2.631071311113
A. Zeniuk10
LSep 7 · 12:05A. Molochko1.201191210113A. Zeniuk4.33811101272WSep 7 · 24:00A. Zeniuk2.5011811113D. Zeniuk1.50811871LSep 6 · 23:00N. Danyliuk1.0781113113A. Zeniuk7.501121181LSep 6 · 22:00A. Molochko1.2811117113A. Zeniuk3.50681141LSep 6 · 20:30V. Verbyany1.22111011113A. Zeniuk4.00712891LSep 4 · 08:25D. Zeniuk1.501113113A. Zeniuk2.5071140LSep 4 · 06:55V. Verbyany1.281111113A. Zeniuk3.503580WSep 4 · 05:25A. Molochko1.205440A. Zeniuk4.331111113LSep 4 · 04:25N. Danyliuk1.06111811113A. Zeniuk8.00220661LSep 3 · 15:25V. Verbyany1.3012911113A. Zeniuk3.401011961
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