TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13072511
Played Sep 4Finished
Dmytro Zeniuk
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171311114––––
Andrii Zeniuk
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:08 and never touched — 66.5% is still 66.5%
Graded at full timeDmytro Zeniuk to win
66.5%
66.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Zeniuk above · Andrii Zeniuk below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 57 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Dmytro Zeniuk at 66.5%
57 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Zeniuk 61–33 Andrii Zeniuk Andrii Zeniuk has won 33 of their 94 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:08What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Zeniuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
61-33 in 94
Zeniuk
Correct
gap of 28 in 94, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zeniuk 2012 vs Zeniuk 1797
Zeniuk
Correct
both rated, 215 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zeniuk 40% vs Zeniuk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zeniuk 70% vs Zeniuk 30%
Zeniuk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zeniuk -2 · Zeniuk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Zeniuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zeniuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZeniuk 1.50 / Zeniuk 2.50
Signal prob.67% / 34%
Edge (Zeniuk)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13072511
Zeniuk1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 87 of 147
Up 2–0, closes it89% 47 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it82% 70 of 85
Zeniuk2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 55 of 133
Down 0–1, comes back24% 19 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back12% 5 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZeniuk5wins
AwayZeniuk5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZeniuk60%3 of 5
AwayZeniuk60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zeniuk5Zeniuk5n = 10split evenly
S2Zeniuk4Zeniuk6n = 10Zeniuk took 6 of 10
S3Zeniuk7Zeniuk3n = 10Zeniuk took 7 of 10
S4Zeniuk5Zeniuk3n = 8Zeniuk took 5 of 8
S5Zeniuk1Zeniuk3n = 4Zeniuk took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZeniukZeniukZeniuk − ZeniukBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.739.3+1.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZeniukZeniukBasisWin rate · lifetime376 / 735 vs 278 / 50651.2%54.9%376 / 735 vs 278 / 506Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZeniukZeniuk 1.50/Zeniuk 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.5%
Zeniuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zeniuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 13:25D. Zeniuk—71312113A. Zeniuk—11111011
WAug 31 · 17:35D. Zeniuk—11811113A. Zeniuk—611591
LAug 31 · 01:30D. Zeniuk—1011118102A. Zeniuk—123711123
WAug 24 · 17:35D. Zeniuk—971111113A. Zeniuk—11119982
LAug 21 · 09:55D. Zeniuk—117116122A. Zeniuk—611911143
WAug 20 · 17:55D. Zeniuk—111110113A. Zeniuk—741261
WAug 20 · 24:00D. Zeniuk—1111123A. Zeniuk—87100
LAug 4 · 05:05D. Zeniuk—11551182A. Zeniuk—811119113
LJul 18 · 11:05D. Zeniuk—91150A. Zeniuk—1113113
LJul 14 · 10:35D. Zeniuk—471591A. Zeniuk—111113113
D. Zeniuk10
LSep 7 · 24:00A. Zeniuk2.5011811113D. Zeniuk1.50811871WSep 6 · 22:30V. Verbyany1.617118131D. Zeniuk2.2011911153WSep 6 · 21:00A. Molochko1.57129751D. Zeniuk2.25101111113LSep 6 · 20:00N. Danyliuk1.331511910113D. Zeniuk3.25136111252LSep 4 · 09:31D. Zeniuk8.5048100N. Danyliuk1.051111123LSep 4 · 07:25N. Danyliuk1.36121111113D. Zeniuk3.00146751LSep 4 · 06:25A. Molochko1.67111111113D. Zeniuk2.10137561WSep 4 · 04:55V. Verbyany1.7311481172D. Zeniuk2.00311119113WSep 3 · 17:39A. Molochko1.67118811132D. Zeniuk2.10811117153LSep 3 · 16:25V. Verbyany1.73961113113D. Zeniuk2.00111161152
A. Zeniuk10
WSep 7 · 24:00A. Zeniuk2.5011811113D. Zeniuk1.50811871LSep 6 · 23:00N. Danyliuk1.0781113113A. Zeniuk7.501121181LSep 6 · 22:00A. Molochko1.2811117113A. Zeniuk3.50681141LSep 6 · 20:30V. Verbyany1.22111011113A. Zeniuk4.00712891LSep 4 · 06:55V. Verbyany1.281111113A. Zeniuk3.503580WSep 4 · 05:25A. Molochko1.205440A. Zeniuk4.331111113LSep 4 · 04:25N. Danyliuk1.06111811113A. Zeniuk8.00220661LSep 3 · 15:25V. Verbyany1.3012911113A. Zeniuk3.401011961WSep 3 · 14:25A. Zeniuk4.5011411113A. Molochko1.17611661LSep 3 · 13:25D. Zeniuk1.5071312113A. Zeniuk2.5011111011
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