TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13072504
Played Sep 4Finished
Anton Molochko
Home
1.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511411411––––
Andrii Zeniuk
Away
4.33
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:08 and never touched — 81.5% is still 81.5%
Graded at full timeAnton Molochko to win
81.5%
81.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAnton Molochko above · Andrii Zeniuk below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 46 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Anton Molochko at 81.5%
46 points played in total.
H2H Anton Molochko 9–7 Andrii Zeniuk Andrii Zeniuk has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:08What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Molochko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-7 in 16
Molochko
Wrong
gap of 2 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Molochko 1929 vs Zeniuk 1807
Molochko
Wrong
both rated, 121 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Molochko 40% vs Zeniuk 20%
Molochko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Molochko 50% vs Zeniuk 20%
Molochko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Molochko -1 · Zeniuk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 82% — Strong (leans Molochko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Molochko form (40%) is below what odds imply (83%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMolochko 1.20 / Zeniuk 4.33
Signal prob.82% / 19%
Edge (Molochko)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13072504
Molochko1.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 153 of 243
Up 2–0, closes it96% 66 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it85% 110 of 129
Zeniuk4.33
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog41% won 55 of 133
Down 0–1, comes back24% 19 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back12% 5 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMolochko6wins
AwayZeniuk4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMolochko leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMolochko83.3%5 of 6
AwayZeniuk75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Molochko6Zeniuk4n = 10Molochko took 6 of 10
S2Molochko7Zeniuk3n = 10Molochko took 7 of 10
S3Molochko5Zeniuk5n = 10split evenly
S4Molochko4Zeniuk4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMolochkoZeniukM − ZBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.835.7+2.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMolochkoZeniukBasisWin rate · lifetime545 / 930 vs 278 / 50558.6%55.1%545 / 930 vs 278 / 505Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MolochkoMolochko 1.20/Zeniuk 4.33
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
81.5%
Molochko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zeniuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 14:25A. Molochko—611661A. Zeniuk—11411113
LAug 31 · 13:35A. Molochko—11116982A. Zeniuk—491111113
WAug 30 · 21:30A. Molochko—131110113A. Zeniuk—1191251
LAug 24 · 13:35A. Molochko—812561A. Zeniuk—111011113
LAug 23 · 20:00A. Molochko—861171A. Zeniuk—11115113
WAug 21 · 04:55A. Molochko—1111113A. Zeniuk—9680
WAug 20 · 16:55A. Molochko—11119113A. Zeniuk—861181
WAug 4 · 10:35A. Molochko—1112113A. Zeniuk—51080
WJul 31 · 06:55A. Molochko—1231111113A. Zeniuk—14116952
WJul 30 · 12:25A. Molochko—11611113A. Zeniuk—611691
A. Molochko10
LSep 7 · 01:38N. Danyliuk1.53771114113A. Molochko2.38111181262WSep 7 · 24:30A. Molochko2.20118811123N. Danyliuk1.61811118102WSep 6 · 23:30A. Molochko1.441111113V. Verbyany2.639560WSep 6 · 22:00A. Molochko1.2811117113A. Zeniuk3.50681141LSep 6 · 21:00A. Molochko1.57129751D. Zeniuk2.25101111113LSep 4 · 09:53V. Verbyany2.38101111113A. Molochko1.53127431WSep 4 · 08:55A. Molochko2.201111133N. Danyliuk1.6138110LSep 4 · 07:55A. Molochko1.5751214792V. Verbyany2.2511101211113WSep 4 · 06:25A. Molochko1.67111111113D. Zeniuk2.10137561LSep 3 · 17:39A. Molochko1.67118811132D. Zeniuk2.10811117153
A. Zeniuk10
WSep 7 · 24:00A. Zeniuk2.5011811113D. Zeniuk1.50811871LSep 6 · 23:00N. Danyliuk1.0781113113A. Zeniuk7.501121181LSep 6 · 22:00A. Molochko1.2811117113A. Zeniuk3.50681141LSep 6 · 20:30V. Verbyany1.22111011113A. Zeniuk4.00712891LSep 4 · 08:25D. Zeniuk1.501113113A. Zeniuk2.5071140LSep 4 · 06:55V. Verbyany1.281111113A. Zeniuk3.503580LSep 4 · 04:25N. Danyliuk1.06111811113A. Zeniuk8.00220661LSep 3 · 15:25V. Verbyany1.3012911113A. Zeniuk3.401011961WSep 3 · 14:25A. Zeniuk4.5011411113A. Molochko1.17611661LSep 3 · 13:25D. Zeniuk1.5071312113A. Zeniuk2.5011111011
Upcoming Matches
A. Molochko
A. Zeniuk
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.