TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13072876
Played Sep 4Finished
Nazar Danyliuk
Home
1.06
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1121820116116––
Andrii Zeniuk
Away
8.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:30 and never touched — 91.0% is still 91.0%
Graded at full timeNazar Danyliuk to win
91.0%
91.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingNazar Danyliuk above · Andrii Zeniuk below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 18-20
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 85 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Nazar Danyliuk at 91.0%
85 points played in total.
H2H Nazar Danyliuk 9–2 Andrii Zeniuk Andrii Zeniuk has won 2 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:30What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.06 (88%)
Danyliuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-2 in 11
Danyliuk
Correct
gap of 7 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Danyliuk 2063 vs Zeniuk 1790
Danyliuk
Correct
both rated, 273 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Danyliuk 60% vs Zeniuk 20%
Danyliuk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Danyliuk 60% vs Zeniuk 30%
Danyliuk
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Danyliuk +1 · Zeniuk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 91% — Strong (leans Danyliuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Danyliuk form (60%) is below what odds imply (94%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDanyliuk 1.06 / Zeniuk 8.00
Signal prob.91% / 9%
Edge (Danyliuk)+2.7pp
Setka Cup · #13072876
Danyliuk1.06
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite61% won 158 of 260
Up 2–0, closes it95% 81 of 85
Up 1–0, closes it80% 121 of 151
Zeniuk8.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 55 of 133
Down 0–1, comes back24% 19 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back12% 5 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDanyliuk8wins
AwayZeniuk2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderDanyliuk leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDanyliuk87.5%7 of 8
AwayZeniukn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Danyliuk8Zeniuk2n = 10Danyliuk took 8 of 10
S2Danyliuk5Zeniuk5n = 10split evenly
S3Danyliuk7Zeniuk3n = 10Danyliuk took 7 of 10
S4Danyliuk4Zeniuk2n = 6Danyliuk took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDanyliukZeniukD − ZBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match37.829.8+8.0per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDanyliukZeniukBasisWin rate · lifetime591 / 972 vs 277 / 50460.8%55%591 / 972 vs 277 / 504Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DanyliukDanyliuk 1.06/Zeniuk 8.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
91%
Danyliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Danyliuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 21 · 05:55N. Danyliuk—1111113A. Zeniuk—6360
WAug 20 · 15:55N. Danyliuk—1291211113A. Zeniuk—101114832
WAug 19 · 20:30N. Danyliuk—1111113A. Zeniuk—8150
WAug 4 · 07:05N. Danyliuk—116911113A. Zeniuk—91111442
WAug 3 · 14:05N. Danyliuk—1114113A. Zeniuk—61250
WJul 31 · 08:25N. Danyliuk—1111113A. Zeniuk—4530
LJul 30 · 16:55N. Danyliuk—621181A. Zeniuk—11116113
WJul 24 · 10:25N. Danyliuk—11811113A. Zeniuk—711691
WJul 23 · 14:25N. Danyliuk—81111113A. Zeniuk—118981
LJul 21 · 10:35N. Danyliuk—118571A. Zeniuk—81111113
N. Danyliuk10
WSep 7 · 01:38N. Danyliuk1.53771114113A. Molochko2.38111181262LSep 7 · 24:30A. Molochko2.20118811123N. Danyliuk1.61811118102WSep 6 · 23:00N. Danyliuk1.0781113113A. Zeniuk7.501121181WSep 6 · 21:30N. Danyliuk1.501111113V. Verbyany2.507740WSep 6 · 20:00N. Danyliuk1.331511910113D. Zeniuk3.25136111252WSep 4 · 09:31D. Zeniuk8.5048100N. Danyliuk1.051111123LSep 4 · 08:55A. Molochko2.201111133N. Danyliuk1.6138110WSep 4 · 07:25N. Danyliuk1.36121111113D. Zeniuk3.00146751LSep 4 · 05:55N. Danyliuk1.5381191182V. Verbyany2.38114119113WSep 3 · 17:09N. Danyliuk1.611111113V. Verbyany2.206440
A. Zeniuk10
WSep 7 · 24:00A. Zeniuk2.5011811113D. Zeniuk1.50811871LSep 6 · 23:00N. Danyliuk1.0781113113A. Zeniuk7.501121181LSep 6 · 22:00A. Molochko1.2811117113A. Zeniuk3.50681141LSep 6 · 20:30V. Verbyany1.22111011113A. Zeniuk4.00712891LSep 4 · 08:25D. Zeniuk1.501113113A. Zeniuk2.5071140LSep 4 · 06:55V. Verbyany1.281111113A. Zeniuk3.503580WSep 4 · 05:25A. Molochko1.205440A. Zeniuk4.331111113LSep 3 · 15:25V. Verbyany1.3012911113A. Zeniuk3.401011961WSep 3 · 14:25A. Zeniuk4.5011411113A. Molochko1.17611661LSep 3 · 13:25D. Zeniuk1.5071312113A. Zeniuk2.5011111011
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