TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13090120
Played Sep 7Finished
Nazar Danyliuk
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7117111181412116
Anton Molochko
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
How it is goingNazar Danyliuk above · Anton Molochko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 14-12
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 98 set 5, 11-6
98 points played in total.
H2H Nazar Danyliuk 169–154 Anton Molochko Anton Molochko has won 154 of their 323 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Molochko beat Danyliuk 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Danyliuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Molochko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDanyliuk 1.53 / Molochko 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Danyliuk)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13090120
Danyliuk1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 154 of 258
Up 2–0, closes it95% 76 of 80
Up 1–0, closes it80% 116 of 146
Molochko2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog42% won 62 of 149
Down 0–1, comes back26% 25 of 96
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDanyliuk5wins
AwayMolochko5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDanyliuk66.7%4 of 6
AwayMolochko75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Danyliuk6Molochko4n = 10Danyliuk took 6 of 10
S2Danyliuk3Molochko7n = 10Molochko took 7 of 10
S3Danyliuk4Molochko6n = 10Molochko took 6 of 10
S4Danyliuk3Molochko5n = 8Molochko took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDanyliukMolochkoD − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.038.7−1.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDanyliukMolochkoBasisWin rate · lifetime588 / 970 vs 544 / 92860.6%58.6%588 / 970 vs 544 / 928Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DanyliukDanyliuk 1.53/Molochko 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62%
Danyliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Danyliuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 08:55N. Danyliuk—38110A. Molochko—1111133
LSep 3 · 15:55N. Danyliuk—1171031A. Molochko—31112113
LAug 31 · 18:05N. Danyliuk—117961A. Molochko—81111113
LAug 31 · 02:00N. Danyliuk—13173101A. Molochko—151511123
WAug 25 · 06:05N. Danyliuk—11511113A. Molochko—411951
WAug 24 · 18:05N. Danyliuk—1011114113A. Molochko—12981142
LAug 21 · 10:25N. Danyliuk—64100A. Molochko—1111123
WAug 20 · 13:55N. Danyliuk—11101111113A. Molochko—61281362
WAug 4 · 09:05N. Danyliuk—11117143A. Molochko—5511121
WAug 3 · 17:05N. Danyliuk—11611113A. Molochko—911971
N. Danyliuk10
LSep 7 · 24:30A. Molochko2.20118811123N. Danyliuk1.61811118102WSep 6 · 23:00N. Danyliuk1.0781113113A. Zeniuk7.501121181WSep 6 · 21:30N. Danyliuk1.501111113V. Verbyany2.507740WSep 6 · 20:00N. Danyliuk1.331511910113D. Zeniuk3.25136111252WSep 4 · 09:31D. Zeniuk8.5048100N. Danyliuk1.051111123LSep 4 · 08:55A. Molochko2.201111133N. Danyliuk1.6138110WSep 4 · 07:25N. Danyliuk1.36121111113D. Zeniuk3.00146751LSep 4 · 05:55N. Danyliuk1.5381191182V. Verbyany2.38114119113WSep 4 · 04:25N. Danyliuk1.06111811113A. Zeniuk8.00220661WSep 3 · 17:09N. Danyliuk1.611111113V. Verbyany2.206440
A. Molochko10
WSep 7 · 24:30A. Molochko2.20118811123N. Danyliuk1.61811118102WSep 6 · 23:30A. Molochko1.441111113V. Verbyany2.639560WSep 6 · 22:00A. Molochko1.2811117113A. Zeniuk3.50681141LSep 6 · 21:00A. Molochko1.57129751D. Zeniuk2.25101111113LSep 4 · 09:53V. Verbyany2.38101111113A. Molochko1.53127431WSep 4 · 08:55A. Molochko2.201111133N. Danyliuk1.6138110LSep 4 · 07:55A. Molochko1.5751214792V. Verbyany2.2511101211113WSep 4 · 06:25A. Molochko1.67111111113D. Zeniuk2.10137561LSep 4 · 05:25A. Molochko1.205440A. Zeniuk4.331111113LSep 3 · 17:39A. Molochko1.67118811132D. Zeniuk2.10811117153
Upcoming Matches
N. Danyliuk
A. Molochko
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.