TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13072547
Played Sep 3Finished
Nazar Danyliuk
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116114114––––
Vasily Verbyany
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingNazar Danyliuk above · Vasily Verbyany below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 47 set 3, 11-4
47 points played in total.
H2H Nazar Danyliuk 177–70 Vasily Verbyany Vasily Verbyany has won 70 of their 247 meetings.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Danyliuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Danyliuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDanyliuk 1.61 / Verbyany 2.20
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Danyliuk)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13072547
Danyliuk1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite61% won 155 of 255
Up 2–0, closes it96% 80 of 83
Up 1–0, closes it81% 118 of 146
Verbyany2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 93 of 250
Down 0–1, comes back19% 28 of 146
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 80
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDanyliuk7wins
AwayVerbyany3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDanyliuk leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDanyliuk71.4%5 of 7
AwayVerbyany33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Danyliuk7Verbyany3n = 10Danyliuk took 7 of 10
S2Danyliuk7Verbyany3n = 10Danyliuk took 7 of 10
S3Danyliuk4Verbyany6n = 10Verbyany took 6 of 10
S4Danyliuk6Verbyany1n = 7Danyliuk took 6 of 7
S5Danyliuk1Verbyany2n = 3Verbyany took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDanyliukVerbyanyD − VBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.133.0+5.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDanyliukVerbyanyBasisWin rate · lifetime589 / 970 vs 316 / 77360.7%40.9%589 / 970 vs 316 / 773Avg sets wonper match2.31.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.236.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DanyliukDanyliuk 1.61/Verbyany 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.1%
Danyliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Danyliuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 22:30N. Danyliuk—11117113V. Verbyany—871141
WAug 25 · 05:05N. Danyliuk—1111113V. Verbyany—1580
LAug 24 · 14:35N. Danyliuk—11615852V. Verbyany—9111311113
WAug 23 · 22:30N. Danyliuk—71111113V. Verbyany—117641
WAug 21 · 08:55N. Danyliuk—111111113V. Verbyany—911381
WAug 20 · 17:25N. Danyliuk—1211113V. Verbyany—10370
WAug 19 · 21:30N. Danyliuk—713511113V. Verbyany—111111572
WAug 4 · 11:05N. Danyliuk—11118113V. Verbyany—681151
LAug 3 · 17:30N. Danyliuk—7550V. Verbyany—1111113
LAug 3 · 15:05N. Danyliuk—11741172V. Verbyany—811113113
N. Danyliuk10
WSep 7 · 01:38N. Danyliuk1.53771114113A. Molochko2.38111181262LSep 7 · 24:30A. Molochko2.20118811123N. Danyliuk1.61811118102WSep 6 · 23:00N. Danyliuk1.0781113113A. Zeniuk7.501121181WSep 6 · 21:30N. Danyliuk1.501111113V. Verbyany2.507740WSep 6 · 20:00N. Danyliuk1.331511910113D. Zeniuk3.25136111252WSep 4 · 09:31D. Zeniuk8.5048100N. Danyliuk1.051111123LSep 4 · 08:55A. Molochko2.201111133N. Danyliuk1.6138110WSep 4 · 07:25N. Danyliuk1.36121111113D. Zeniuk3.00146751LSep 4 · 05:55N. Danyliuk1.5381191182V. Verbyany2.38114119113WSep 4 · 04:25N. Danyliuk1.06111811113A. Zeniuk8.00220661
V. Verbyany10
LSep 6 · 23:30A. Molochko1.441111113V. Verbyany2.639560LSep 6 · 22:30V. Verbyany1.617118131D. Zeniuk2.2011911153LSep 6 · 21:30N. Danyliuk1.501111113V. Verbyany2.507740WSep 6 · 20:30V. Verbyany1.22111011113A. Zeniuk4.00712891WSep 4 · 09:53V. Verbyany2.38101111113A. Molochko1.53127431WSep 4 · 07:55A. Molochko1.5751214792V. Verbyany2.2511101211113WSep 4 · 06:55V. Verbyany1.281111113A. Zeniuk3.503580WSep 4 · 05:55N. Danyliuk1.5381191182V. Verbyany2.38114119113LSep 4 · 04:55V. Verbyany1.7311481172D. Zeniuk2.00311119113WSep 3 · 16:25V. Verbyany1.73961113113D. Zeniuk2.00111161152
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