TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067392
Played Sep 3Finished
Vasily Verbyany
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9116111161311115
Dmytro Zeniuk
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVasily Verbyany to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVasily Verbyany above · Dmytro Zeniuk below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 94 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Vasily Verbyany at 54.0%
94 points played in total.
H2H Vasily Verbyany 49–32 Dmytro Zeniuk Dmytro Zeniuk has won 32 of their 81 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:38What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Verbyany
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
49-32 in 81
Verbyany
Correct
gap of 17 in 81, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Verbyany 1897 vs Zeniuk 2039
Zeniuk
Wrong
both rated, 142 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Verbyany 20% vs Zeniuk 100%
Zeniuk
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Verbyany 50% vs Zeniuk 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Verbyany +1 · Zeniuk +5
Zeniuk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zeniuk) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zeniuk form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVerbyany 1.73 / Zeniuk 2.00
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Zeniuk)+7.7pp
Setka Cup · #13067392
Verbyany1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 43 of 78
Up 2–0, closes it88% 21 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it71% 32 of 45
Zeniuk2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 30 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back14% 5 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVerbyany5wins
AwayZeniuk5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVerbyany71.4%5 of 7
AwayZeniuk100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Verbyany7Zeniuk3n = 10Verbyany took 7 of 10
S2Verbyany4Zeniuk6n = 10Zeniuk took 6 of 10
S3Verbyany4Zeniuk6n = 10Zeniuk took 6 of 10
S4Verbyany3Zeniuk4n = 7Zeniuk took 4 of 7
S5Verbyany2Zeniuk2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVerbyanyZeniukV − ZBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.437.4−1.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVerbyanyZeniukBasisWin rate · lifetime316 / 774 vs 375 / 73240.8%51.2%316 / 774 vs 375 / 732Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.136.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZeniukVerbyany 1.73/Zeniuk 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zeniuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Verbyany won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 18:35V. Verbyany—11911992D. Zeniuk—911811113
WAug 31 · 02:30V. Verbyany—118311113D. Zeniuk—41111682
LAug 25 · 08:35V. Verbyany—3960D. Zeniuk—1111113
WAug 24 · 18:35V. Verbyany—118115113D. Zeniuk—81161192
LAug 23 · 23:30V. Verbyany—6680D. Zeniuk—1111113
WAug 21 · 10:55V. Verbyany—11119113D. Zeniuk—471171
WAug 20 · 13:25V. Verbyany—1111113D. Zeniuk—4790
LAug 19 · 20:00V. Verbyany—811491D. Zeniuk—11811113
LAug 4 · 10:05V. Verbyany—11126272D. Zeniuk—8101111113
WMar 13 · 03:45V. Verbyany—11911113D. Zeniuk—911481
V. Verbyany10
LSep 6 · 23:30A. Molochko1.441111113V. Verbyany2.639560LSep 6 · 22:30V. Verbyany1.617118131D. Zeniuk2.2011911153LSep 6 · 21:30N. Danyliuk1.501111113V. Verbyany2.507740WSep 6 · 20:30V. Verbyany1.22111011113A. Zeniuk4.00712891WSep 4 · 09:53V. Verbyany2.38101111113A. Molochko1.53127431WSep 4 · 07:55A. Molochko1.5751214792V. Verbyany2.2511101211113WSep 4 · 06:55V. Verbyany1.281111113A. Zeniuk3.503580WSep 4 · 05:55N. Danyliuk1.5381191182V. Verbyany2.38114119113LSep 4 · 04:55V. Verbyany1.7311481172D. Zeniuk2.00311119113LSep 3 · 17:09N. Danyliuk1.611111113V. Verbyany2.206440
D. Zeniuk10
LSep 7 · 24:00A. Zeniuk2.5011811113D. Zeniuk1.50811871WSep 6 · 22:30V. Verbyany1.617118131D. Zeniuk2.2011911153WSep 6 · 21:00A. Molochko1.57129751D. Zeniuk2.25101111113LSep 6 · 20:00N. Danyliuk1.331511910113D. Zeniuk3.25136111252LSep 4 · 09:31D. Zeniuk8.5048100N. Danyliuk1.051111123WSep 4 · 08:25D. Zeniuk1.501113113A. Zeniuk2.5071140LSep 4 · 07:25N. Danyliuk1.36121111113D. Zeniuk3.00146751LSep 4 · 06:25A. Molochko1.67111111113D. Zeniuk2.10137561WSep 4 · 04:55V. Verbyany1.7311481172D. Zeniuk2.00311119113WSep 3 · 17:39A. Molochko1.67118811132D. Zeniuk2.10811117153
Upcoming Matches
V. Verbyany
D. Zeniuk
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.