TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084438
Played Sep 7Finished
Andrii Zeniuk
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118811118117––
Dmytro Zeniuk
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:28 and never touched — 67.3% is still 67.3%
Graded at full timeDmytro Zeniuk to win
67.3%
67.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAndrii Zeniuk above · Dmytro Zeniuk below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 75 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Dmytro Zeniuk at 67.3%
75 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Zeniuk 34–62 Dmytro Zeniuk Andrii Zeniuk has won 34 of their 96 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:28What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Zeniuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
34-62 in 96
Zeniuk
Wrong
gap of 28 in 96, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zeniuk 1792 vs Zeniuk 2014
Zeniuk
Wrong
both rated, 223 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zeniuk 0% vs Zeniuk 60%
Zeniuk
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zeniuk 20% vs Zeniuk 50%
Zeniuk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zeniuk -5 · Zeniuk +2
Zeniuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Zeniuk) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zeniuk form (0%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZeniuk 2.50 / Zeniuk 1.50
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Zeniuk)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13084438
Zeniuk2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 56 of 137
Down 0–1, comes back24% 19 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back12% 5 of 43
Zeniuk1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 88 of 148
Up 2–0, closes it89% 48 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it83% 71 of 86
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZeniuk4wins
AwayZeniuk6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderZeniuk leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZeniuk50%2 of 4
AwayZeniuk66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zeniuk4Zeniuk6n = 10Zeniuk took 6 of 10
S2Zeniuk4Zeniuk6n = 10Zeniuk took 6 of 10
S3Zeniuk3Zeniuk7n = 10Zeniuk took 7 of 10
S4Zeniuk3Zeniuk5n = 8Zeniuk took 5 of 8
S5Zeniuk3Zeniuk1n = 4Zeniuk took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricZeniukZeniukZeniuk − ZeniukBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.541.6−4.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZeniukZeniukBasisWin rate · lifetime279 / 511 vs 371 / 72654.6%51.1%279 / 511 vs 371 / 726Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZeniukZeniuk 2.50/Zeniuk 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.1%
Zeniuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zeniuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 24:00A. Zeniuk—11811113D. Zeniuk—811871
LSep 4 · 08:25A. Zeniuk—71140D. Zeniuk—1113113
LSep 3 · 13:25A. Zeniuk—11111011D. Zeniuk—71312113
LAug 31 · 17:35A. Zeniuk—611591D. Zeniuk—11811113
WAug 31 · 01:30A. Zeniuk—123711123D. Zeniuk—1011118102
LAug 24 · 17:35A. Zeniuk—11119982D. Zeniuk—971111113
WAug 21 · 09:55A. Zeniuk—611911143D. Zeniuk—117116122
LAug 20 · 17:55A. Zeniuk—741261D. Zeniuk—111110113
LAug 20 · 24:00A. Zeniuk—87100D. Zeniuk—1111123
WAug 4 · 05:05A. Zeniuk—811119113D. Zeniuk—11551182
A. Zeniuk10
LSep 6 · 23:00N. Danyliuk1.0781113113A. Zeniuk7.501121181LSep 6 · 22:00A. Molochko1.2811117113A. Zeniuk3.50681141LSep 6 · 20:30V. Verbyany1.22111011113A. Zeniuk4.00712891LSep 4 · 08:25D. Zeniuk1.501113113A. Zeniuk2.5071140LSep 4 · 06:55V. Verbyany1.281111113A. Zeniuk3.503580WSep 4 · 05:25A. Molochko1.205440A. Zeniuk4.331111113LSep 4 · 04:25N. Danyliuk1.06111811113A. Zeniuk8.00220661LSep 3 · 15:25V. Verbyany1.3012911113A. Zeniuk3.401011961WSep 3 · 14:25A. Zeniuk4.5011411113A. Molochko1.17611661LSep 3 · 13:25D. Zeniuk1.5071312113A. Zeniuk2.5011111011
D. Zeniuk10
WSep 6 · 22:30V. Verbyany1.617118131D. Zeniuk2.2011911153WSep 6 · 21:00A. Molochko1.57129751D. Zeniuk2.25101111113LSep 6 · 20:00N. Danyliuk1.331511910113D. Zeniuk3.25136111252LSep 4 · 09:31D. Zeniuk8.5048100N. Danyliuk1.051111123WSep 4 · 08:25D. Zeniuk1.501113113A. Zeniuk2.5071140LSep 4 · 07:25N. Danyliuk1.36121111113D. Zeniuk3.00146751LSep 4 · 06:25A. Molochko1.67111111113D. Zeniuk2.10137561WSep 4 · 04:55V. Verbyany1.7311481172D. Zeniuk2.00311119113WSep 3 · 17:39A. Molochko1.67118811132D. Zeniuk2.10811117153WSep 3 · 13:25D. Zeniuk1.5071312113A. Zeniuk2.5011111011
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