TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13085427
Played Sep 6Finished
Anton Molochko
Home
1.29
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116118711114––
Andrii Zeniuk
Away
3.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:28 and never touched — 79.8% is still 79.8%
Graded at full timeAnton Molochko to win
79.8%
79.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnton Molochko above · Andrii Zeniuk below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 69 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Anton Molochko at 79.8%
69 points played in total.
H2H Anton Molochko 9–7 Andrii Zeniuk Andrii Zeniuk has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 01:28What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Molochko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-7 in 16
Molochko
Correct
gap of 2 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Molochko 1914 vs Zeniuk 1783
Molochko
Correct
both rated, 131 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Molochko 40% vs Zeniuk 20%
Molochko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Molochko 40% vs Zeniuk 20%
Molochko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Molochko -2 · Zeniuk -3
Zeniuk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Molochko) · live re-read · sealed at 80% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Molochko form (40%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMolochko 1.28 / Zeniuk 3.50
Signal prob.76% / 24%
Edge (Molochko)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13085427
Molochko1.28
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 147 of 240
Up 2–0, closes it96% 64 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it84% 106 of 126
Zeniuk3.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 56 of 137
Down 0–1, comes back24% 19 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back12% 5 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMolochko6wins
AwayZeniuk4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMolochko leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMolochko83.3%5 of 6
AwayZeniuk75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Molochko6Zeniuk4n = 10Molochko took 6 of 10
S2Molochko7Zeniuk3n = 10Molochko took 7 of 10
S3Molochko5Zeniuk5n = 10split evenly
S4Molochko4Zeniuk4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMolochkoZeniukM − ZBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.835.7+2.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMolochkoZeniukBasisWin rate · lifetime541 / 925 vs 278 / 50858.5%54.7%541 / 925 vs 278 / 508Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MolochkoMolochko 1.28/Zeniuk 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.3%
Molochko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Molochko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 14:25A. Molochko—611661A. Zeniuk—11411113
LAug 31 · 13:35A. Molochko—11116982A. Zeniuk—491111113
WAug 30 · 21:30A. Molochko—131110113A. Zeniuk—1191251
LAug 24 · 13:35A. Molochko—812561A. Zeniuk—111011113
LAug 23 · 20:00A. Molochko—861171A. Zeniuk—11115113
WAug 21 · 04:55A. Molochko—1111113A. Zeniuk—9680
WAug 20 · 16:55A. Molochko—11119113A. Zeniuk—861181
WAug 4 · 10:35A. Molochko—1112113A. Zeniuk—51080
WJul 31 · 06:55A. Molochko—1231111113A. Zeniuk—14116952
WJul 30 · 12:25A. Molochko—11611113A. Zeniuk—611691
A. Molochko10
LSep 7 · 01:38N. Danyliuk1.53771114113A. Molochko2.38111181262WSep 7 · 24:30A. Molochko2.20118811123N. Danyliuk1.61811118102WSep 6 · 23:30A. Molochko1.441111113V. Verbyany2.639560LSep 6 · 21:00A. Molochko1.57129751D. Zeniuk2.25101111113LSep 4 · 09:53V. Verbyany2.38101111113A. Molochko1.53127431WSep 4 · 08:55A. Molochko2.201111133N. Danyliuk1.6138110LSep 4 · 07:55A. Molochko1.5751214792V. Verbyany2.2511101211113WSep 4 · 06:25A. Molochko1.67111111113D. Zeniuk2.10137561LSep 4 · 05:25A. Molochko1.205440A. Zeniuk4.331111113LSep 3 · 17:39A. Molochko1.67118811132D. Zeniuk2.10811117153
A. Zeniuk10
WSep 7 · 24:00A. Zeniuk2.5011811113D. Zeniuk1.50811871LSep 6 · 23:00N. Danyliuk1.0781113113A. Zeniuk7.501121181LSep 6 · 20:30V. Verbyany1.22111011113A. Zeniuk4.00712891LSep 4 · 08:25D. Zeniuk1.501113113A. Zeniuk2.5071140LSep 4 · 06:55V. Verbyany1.281111113A. Zeniuk3.503580WSep 4 · 05:25A. Molochko1.205440A. Zeniuk4.331111113LSep 4 · 04:25N. Danyliuk1.06111811113A. Zeniuk8.00220661LSep 3 · 15:25V. Verbyany1.3012911113A. Zeniuk3.401011961WSep 3 · 14:25A. Zeniuk4.5011411113A. Molochko1.17611661LSep 3 · 13:25D. Zeniuk1.5071312113A. Zeniuk2.5011111011
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