TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13072530
Played Sep 4Finished
Anton Molochko
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1131181311––––
Nazar Danyliuk
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:08 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeNazar Danyliuk to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAnton Molochko above · Nazar Danyliuk below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 57 set 3, 13-11 — our read held Nazar Danyliuk at 58.9%
57 points played in total.
H2H Anton Molochko 151–169 Nazar Danyliuk Anton Molochko has won 151 of their 320 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:08What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Danyliuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
151-169 in 320
Danyliuk
Wrong
gap of 18 in 320, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Molochko 1925 vs Danyliuk 2063
Danyliuk
Wrong
both rated, 137 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Molochko 40% vs Danyliuk 60%
Danyliuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Molochko 50% vs Danyliuk 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Molochko -1 · Danyliuk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Danyliuk) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMolochko 2.20 / Danyliuk 1.61
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Danyliuk)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13072530
Molochko2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog40% won 61 of 151
Down 0–1, comes back25% 25 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 52
Danyliuk1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite61% won 158 of 260
Up 2–0, closes it95% 81 of 85
Up 1–0, closes it80% 121 of 151
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMolochko2wins
AwayDanyliuk8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderDanyliuk leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMolochko50%2 of 4
AwayDanyliuk100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Molochko4Danyliuk6n = 10Danyliuk took 6 of 10
S2Molochko4Danyliuk6n = 10Danyliuk took 6 of 10
S3Molochko3Danyliuk7n = 10Danyliuk took 7 of 10
S4Molochko3Danyliuk4n = 7Danyliuk took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMolochkoDanyliukM − DBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.939.8−4.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMolochkoDanyliukBasisWin rate · lifetime546 / 932 vs 592 / 97458.6%60.8%546 / 932 vs 592 / 974Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DanyliukMolochko 2.20/Danyliuk 1.61
Miss
What we said
60.9%
Danyliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Molochko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 02:00A. Molochko—151511123N. Danyliuk—13173101
LAug 25 · 06:05A. Molochko—411951N. Danyliuk—11511113
LAug 24 · 18:05A. Molochko—12981142N. Danyliuk—1011114113
WAug 21 · 10:25A. Molochko—1111123N. Danyliuk—64100
LAug 20 · 13:55A. Molochko—61281362N. Danyliuk—11101111113
LAug 4 · 09:05A. Molochko—5511121N. Danyliuk—11117143
LAug 3 · 17:05A. Molochko—911971N. Danyliuk—11611113
LJul 31 · 10:55A. Molochko—146551N. Danyliuk—121111113
LJul 30 · 18:55A. Molochko—8680N. Danyliuk—1111113
LJul 24 · 08:55A. Molochko—47120N. Danyliuk—1111143
A. Molochko10
LSep 7 · 01:38N. Danyliuk1.53771114113A. Molochko2.38111181262WSep 7 · 24:30A. Molochko2.20118811123N. Danyliuk1.61811118102WSep 6 · 23:30A. Molochko1.441111113V. Verbyany2.639560WSep 6 · 22:00A. Molochko1.2811117113A. Zeniuk3.50681141LSep 6 · 21:00A. Molochko1.57129751D. Zeniuk2.25101111113LSep 4 · 09:53V. Verbyany2.38101111113A. Molochko1.53127431LSep 4 · 07:55A. Molochko1.5751214792V. Verbyany2.2511101211113WSep 4 · 06:25A. Molochko1.67111111113D. Zeniuk2.10137561LSep 4 · 05:25A. Molochko1.205440A. Zeniuk4.331111113LSep 3 · 17:39A. Molochko1.67118811132D. Zeniuk2.10811117153
N. Danyliuk10
WSep 7 · 01:38N. Danyliuk1.53771114113A. Molochko2.38111181262LSep 7 · 24:30A. Molochko2.20118811123N. Danyliuk1.61811118102WSep 6 · 23:00N. Danyliuk1.0781113113A. Zeniuk7.501121181WSep 6 · 21:30N. Danyliuk1.501111113V. Verbyany2.507740WSep 6 · 20:00N. Danyliuk1.331511910113D. Zeniuk3.25136111252WSep 4 · 09:31D. Zeniuk8.5048100N. Danyliuk1.051111123WSep 4 · 07:25N. Danyliuk1.36121111113D. Zeniuk3.00146751LSep 4 · 05:55N. Danyliuk1.5381191182V. Verbyany2.38114119113WSep 4 · 04:25N. Danyliuk1.06111811113A. Zeniuk8.00220661WSep 3 · 17:09N. Danyliuk1.611111113V. Verbyany2.206440
Upcoming Matches
A. Molochko
N. Danyliuk
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.