TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084482
Played Sep 6Finished
Anton Molochko
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1210911711511––
Dmytro Zeniuk
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:38 and never touched — 59.2% is still 59.2%
Graded at full timeAnton Molochko to win
59.2%
59.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAnton Molochko above · Dmytro Zeniuk below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 76 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Anton Molochko at 59.2%
76 points played in total.
H2H Anton Molochko 50–25 Dmytro Zeniuk Dmytro Zeniuk has won 25 of their 75 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:38What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Molochko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
50-25 in 75
Molochko
Wrong
gap of 25 in 75, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Molochko 1923 vs Zeniuk 2006
Zeniuk
Correct
both rated, 83 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Molochko 40% vs Zeniuk 20%
Molochko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Molochko 40% vs Zeniuk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Molochko -1 · Zeniuk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Molochko) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zeniuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMolochko 1.57 / Zeniuk 2.25
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Molochko)-1.6pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13084482
Molochko1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 147 of 240
Up 2–0, closes it96% 64 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it84% 106 of 126
Zeniuk2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 30 of 68
Down 0–1, comes back19% 6 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back16% 3 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMolochko1wins
AwayZeniuk9wins
1 of 10 to a deciderZeniuk leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMolochkon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayZeniuk87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Molochko2Zeniuk8n = 10Zeniuk took 8 of 10
S2Molochko1Zeniuk9n = 10Zeniuk took 9 of 10
S3Molochko3Zeniuk7n = 10Zeniuk took 7 of 10
S4Molochko2Zeniuk3n = 5Zeniuk took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricMolochkoZeniukM − ZBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match28.237.3−9.1per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMolochkoZeniukBasisWin rate · lifetime541 / 925 vs 370 / 72458.5%51.1%541 / 925 vs 370 / 724Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MolochkoMolochko 1.57/Zeniuk 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.3%
Molochko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zeniuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 21:00A. Molochko—129751D. Zeniuk—101111113
WSep 4 · 06:25A. Molochko—111111113D. Zeniuk—137561
LSep 3 · 17:39A. Molochko—118811132D. Zeniuk—811117153
LSep 3 · 11:55A. Molochko—61090D. Zeniuk—1112113
LAug 31 · 12:05A. Molochko—821131D. Zeniuk—11115113
LAug 30 · 20:00A. Molochko—8870D. Zeniuk—1111113
LAug 25 · 04:35A. Molochko—5130D. Zeniuk—1111113
LAug 24 · 12:05A. Molochko—3540D. Zeniuk—1111113
LAug 23 · 21:30A. Molochko—1061181D. Zeniuk—12118113
LAug 21 · 08:25A. Molochko—97100D. Zeniuk—1111123
A. Molochko10
LSep 7 · 01:38N. Danyliuk1.53771114113A. Molochko2.38111181262WSep 7 · 24:30A. Molochko2.20118811123N. Danyliuk1.61811118102WSep 6 · 23:30A. Molochko1.441111113V. Verbyany2.639560WSep 6 · 22:00A. Molochko1.2811117113A. Zeniuk3.50681141LSep 4 · 09:53V. Verbyany2.38101111113A. Molochko1.53127431WSep 4 · 08:55A. Molochko2.201111133N. Danyliuk1.6138110LSep 4 · 07:55A. Molochko1.5751214792V. Verbyany2.2511101211113WSep 4 · 06:25A. Molochko1.67111111113D. Zeniuk2.10137561LSep 4 · 05:25A. Molochko1.205440A. Zeniuk4.331111113LSep 3 · 17:39A. Molochko1.67118811132D. Zeniuk2.10811117153
D. Zeniuk10
LSep 7 · 24:00A. Zeniuk2.5011811113D. Zeniuk1.50811871WSep 6 · 22:30V. Verbyany1.617118131D. Zeniuk2.2011911153LSep 6 · 20:00N. Danyliuk1.331511910113D. Zeniuk3.25136111252LSep 4 · 09:31D. Zeniuk8.5048100N. Danyliuk1.051111123WSep 4 · 08:25D. Zeniuk1.501113113A. Zeniuk2.5071140LSep 4 · 07:25N. Danyliuk1.36121111113D. Zeniuk3.00146751LSep 4 · 06:25A. Molochko1.67111111113D. Zeniuk2.10137561WSep 4 · 04:55V. Verbyany1.7311481172D. Zeniuk2.00311119113WSep 3 · 17:39A. Molochko1.67118811132D. Zeniuk2.10811117153LSep 3 · 16:25V. Verbyany1.73961113113D. Zeniuk2.00111161152
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