TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067653
Played Sep 3Finished
Andrii Zeniuk
Home
4.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116411116116––
Anton Molochko
Away
1.17
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:31 and never touched — 86.2% is still 86.2%
Graded at full timeAnton Molochko to win
86.2%
86.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAndrii Zeniuk above · Anton Molochko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 66 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Anton Molochko at 86.2%
66 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Zeniuk 6–9 Anton Molochko Andrii Zeniuk has won 6 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:31What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Molochko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-9 in 15
Molochko
Wrong
gap of 3 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zeniuk 1786 vs Molochko 1959
Molochko
Wrong
both rated, 172 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zeniuk 20% vs Molochko 60%
Molochko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zeniuk 20% vs Molochko 60%
Molochko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zeniuk -4 · Molochko +1
Zeniuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Molochko) · live re-read · sealed at 86% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Molochko form (60%) is below what odds imply (86%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZeniuk 4.50 / Molochko 1.17
Signal prob.17% / 83%
Edge (Molochko)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13067653
Zeniuk4.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 54 of 129
Down 0–1, comes back25% 19 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back12% 5 of 41
Molochko1.17
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 152 of 239
Up 2–0, closes it96% 65 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it86% 109 of 127
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZeniuk3wins
AwayMolochko7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMolochko leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZeniuk50%2 of 4
AwayMolochko83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zeniuk4Molochko6n = 10Molochko took 6 of 10
S2Zeniuk3Molochko7n = 10Molochko took 7 of 10
S3Zeniuk4Molochko6n = 10Molochko took 6 of 10
S4Zeniuk3Molochko5n = 8Molochko took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricZeniukMolochkoZ − MBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.638.5−2.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZeniukMolochkoBasisWin rate · lifetime276 / 501 vs 544 / 92655.1%58.8%276 / 501 vs 544 / 926Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MolochkoZeniuk 4.50/Molochko 1.17
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
82.6%
Molochko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zeniuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 13:35A. Zeniuk—491111113A. Molochko—11116982
LAug 30 · 21:30A. Zeniuk—1191251A. Molochko—131110113
WAug 24 · 13:35A. Zeniuk—111011113A. Molochko—812561
WAug 23 · 20:00A. Zeniuk—11115113A. Molochko—861171
LAug 21 · 04:55A. Zeniuk—9680A. Molochko—1111113
LAug 20 · 16:55A. Zeniuk—861181A. Molochko—11119113
LAug 4 · 10:35A. Zeniuk—51080A. Molochko—1112113
LJul 31 · 06:55A. Zeniuk—14116952A. Molochko—1231111113
LJul 30 · 12:25A. Zeniuk—611691A. Molochko—11611113
LJul 28 · 06:55A. Zeniuk—119791A. Molochko—31111113
A. Zeniuk10
WSep 7 · 24:00A. Zeniuk2.5011811113D. Zeniuk1.50811871LSep 6 · 23:00N. Danyliuk1.0781113113A. Zeniuk7.501121181LSep 6 · 22:00A. Molochko1.2811117113A. Zeniuk3.50681141LSep 6 · 20:30V. Verbyany1.22111011113A. Zeniuk4.00712891LSep 4 · 08:25D. Zeniuk1.501113113A. Zeniuk2.5071140LSep 4 · 06:55V. Verbyany1.281111113A. Zeniuk3.503580WSep 4 · 05:25A. Molochko1.205440A. Zeniuk4.331111113LSep 4 · 04:25N. Danyliuk1.06111811113A. Zeniuk8.00220661LSep 3 · 15:25V. Verbyany1.3012911113A. Zeniuk3.401011961LSep 3 · 13:25D. Zeniuk1.5071312113A. Zeniuk2.5011111011
A. Molochko10
LSep 7 · 01:38N. Danyliuk1.53771114113A. Molochko2.38111181262WSep 7 · 24:30A. Molochko2.20118811123N. Danyliuk1.61811118102WSep 6 · 23:30A. Molochko1.441111113V. Verbyany2.639560WSep 6 · 22:00A. Molochko1.2811117113A. Zeniuk3.50681141LSep 6 · 21:00A. Molochko1.57129751D. Zeniuk2.25101111113LSep 4 · 09:53V. Verbyany2.38101111113A. Molochko1.53127431WSep 4 · 08:55A. Molochko2.201111133N. Danyliuk1.6138110LSep 4 · 07:55A. Molochko1.5751214792V. Verbyany2.2511101211113WSep 4 · 06:25A. Molochko1.67111111113D. Zeniuk2.10137561LSep 4 · 05:25A. Molochko1.205440A. Zeniuk4.331111113
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