TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13005331
Played Aug 25Finished
Bohdan Kohut
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
12101171113511811
Dmytro Zeniuk
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:59 and never touched — 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timeBohdan Kohut to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingBohdan Kohut above · Dmytro Zeniuk below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 99 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Bohdan Kohut at 62.0%
99 points played in total.
H2H Bohdan Kohut 29–14 Dmytro Zeniuk Dmytro Zeniuk has won 14 of their 43 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:59What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kohut
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-14 in 43
Kohut
Wrong
gap of 15 in 43, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kohut 1961 vs Zeniuk 1970
Zeniuk
Correct
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kohut 60% vs Zeniuk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kohut 60% vs Zeniuk 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kohut +2 · Zeniuk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Kohut)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zeniuk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKohut 1.44 / Zeniuk 2.63
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Kohut)-2.5pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13005331
Kohut1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 42 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it90% 17 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it78% 32 of 41
Zeniuk2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog36% won 30 of 83
Down 0–1, comes back5% 2 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKohut8wins
AwayZeniuk2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKohut leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKohut100%5 of 5
AwayZeniuk40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kohut5Zeniuk5n = 10split evenly
S2Kohut8Zeniuk2n = 10Kohut took 8 of 10
S3Kohut7Zeniuk3n = 10Kohut took 7 of 10
S4Kohut4Zeniuk2n = 6Kohut took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKohutZeniukK − ZBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.033.4+4.6per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKohutZeniukBasisWin rate · lifetime275 / 617 vs 373 / 72944.6%51.2%275 / 617 vs 373 / 729Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.736.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KohutKohut 1.44/Zeniuk 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62%
Kohut · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zeniuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 24 · 14:05B. Kohut—31311153D. Zeniuk—11118131
WAug 21 · 06:25B. Kohut—1111113D. Zeniuk—9860
WAug 20 · 16:25B. Kohut—118129113D. Zeniuk—911101162
LAug 19 · 21:00B. Kohut—111170D. Zeniuk—1313113
WAug 4 · 11:35B. Kohut—12117123D. Zeniuk—10911101
WMar 12 · 23:15B. Kohut—1111113D. Zeniuk—9590
WMar 10 · 09:05B. Kohut—81111113D. Zeniuk—118991
WMar 9 · 13:05B. Kohut—81111113D. Zeniuk—114661
WMar 9 · 02:30B. Kohut—1111113D. Zeniuk—3560
LMar 6 · 19:55B. Kohut—812961D. Zeniuk—111011113
B. Kohut10
LSep 7 · 12:35N. Danyliuk1.331111113B. Kohut3.254870WAug 31 · 03:00B. Kohut1.301111113A. Zeniuk3.406840LAug 31 · 01:00N. Danyliuk1.33111111113B. Kohut3.25136661LAug 30 · 23:00A. Molochko1.401081111113B. Kohut2.7512117592LAug 30 · 22:00B. Kohut1.5396110D. Zeniuk2.381111133WAug 30 · 21:00V. Verbyany1.8051161172B. Kohut1.91114118113WAug 25 · 10:08A. Molochko1.44513111172B. Kohut2.631111136113LAug 25 · 09:05B. Kohut2.631511941A. Molochko1.4417711113LAug 25 · 08:05B. Kohut3.408690N. Danyliuk1.301111113WAug 25 · 06:35B. Kohut1.831111113V. Verbyany1.839950
D. Zeniuk10
LSep 7 · 24:00A. Zeniuk2.5011811113D. Zeniuk1.50811871WSep 6 · 22:30V. Verbyany1.617118131D. Zeniuk2.2011911153WSep 6 · 21:00A. Molochko1.57129751D. Zeniuk2.25101111113LSep 6 · 20:00N. Danyliuk1.331511910113D. Zeniuk3.25136111252LSep 4 · 09:31D. Zeniuk8.5048100N. Danyliuk1.051111123WSep 4 · 08:25D. Zeniuk1.501113113A. Zeniuk2.5071140LSep 4 · 07:25N. Danyliuk1.36121111113D. Zeniuk3.00146751LSep 4 · 06:25A. Molochko1.67111111113D. Zeniuk2.10137561WSep 4 · 04:55V. Verbyany1.7311481172D. Zeniuk2.00311119113WAug 30 · 22:00B. Kohut1.5396110D. Zeniuk2.381111133
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