TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13043855
Played Aug 30Finished
Bohdan Kohut
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9116111113––––
Dmytro Zeniuk
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:29 and never touched — 62.9% is still 62.9%
Graded at full timeBohdan Kohut to win
62.9%
62.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingBohdan Kohut above · Dmytro Zeniuk below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 61 set 3, 11-13 — our read held Bohdan Kohut at 62.9%
61 points played in total.
H2H Bohdan Kohut 29–15 Dmytro Zeniuk Dmytro Zeniuk has won 15 of their 44 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:29What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Kohut
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-15 in 44
Kohut
Wrong
gap of 14 in 44, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kohut 1961 vs Zeniuk 2036
Zeniuk
Correct
both rated, 76 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kohut 60% vs Zeniuk 100%
Zeniuk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kohut 60% vs Zeniuk 80%
Zeniuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kohut +2 · Zeniuk +5
Zeniuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Kohut) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zeniuk form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKohut 1.53 / Zeniuk 2.38
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Kohut)-1.6pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13043855
Kohut1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 41 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it84% 16 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it76% 31 of 41
Zeniuk2.38
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 30 of 78
Down 0–1, comes back8% 3 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKohut8wins
AwayZeniuk2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKohut leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKohut83.3%5 of 6
AwayZeniuk25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kohut6Zeniuk4n = 10Kohut took 6 of 10
S2Kohut8Zeniuk2n = 10Kohut took 8 of 10
S3Kohut7Zeniuk3n = 10Kohut took 7 of 10
S4Kohut4Zeniuk2n = 6Kohut took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKohutZeniukK − ZBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.234.3+4.9per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKohutZeniukBasisWin rate · lifetime278 / 623 vs 367 / 71944.6%51%278 / 623 vs 367 / 719Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.736.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KohutKohut 1.53/Zeniuk 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.2%
Kohut · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zeniuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 25 · 05:35B. Kohut—121111582D. Zeniuk—1071311113
WAug 24 · 14:05B. Kohut—31311153D. Zeniuk—11118131
WAug 21 · 06:25B. Kohut—1111113D. Zeniuk—9860
WAug 20 · 16:25B. Kohut—118129113D. Zeniuk—911101162
LAug 19 · 21:00B. Kohut—111170D. Zeniuk—1313113
WAug 4 · 11:35B. Kohut—12117123D. Zeniuk—10911101
WMar 12 · 23:15B. Kohut—1111113D. Zeniuk—9590
WMar 10 · 09:05B. Kohut—81111113D. Zeniuk—118991
WMar 9 · 13:05B. Kohut—81111113D. Zeniuk—114661
WMar 9 · 02:30B. Kohut—1111113D. Zeniuk—3560
B. Kohut10
LSep 7 · 12:35N. Danyliuk1.331111113B. Kohut3.254870WAug 31 · 03:00B. Kohut1.301111113A. Zeniuk3.406840LAug 31 · 01:00N. Danyliuk1.33111111113B. Kohut3.25136661LAug 30 · 23:00A. Molochko1.401081111113B. Kohut2.7512117592WAug 30 · 21:00V. Verbyany1.8051161172B. Kohut1.91114118113WAug 25 · 10:08A. Molochko1.44513111172B. Kohut2.631111136113LAug 25 · 09:05B. Kohut2.631511941A. Molochko1.4417711113LAug 25 · 08:05B. Kohut3.408690N. Danyliuk1.301111113WAug 25 · 06:35B. Kohut1.831111113V. Verbyany1.839950LAug 25 · 05:35B. Kohut1.44121111582D. Zeniuk2.631071311113
D. Zeniuk10
LSep 7 · 24:00A. Zeniuk2.5011811113D. Zeniuk1.50811871WSep 6 · 22:30V. Verbyany1.617118131D. Zeniuk2.2011911153WSep 6 · 21:00A. Molochko1.57129751D. Zeniuk2.25101111113LSep 6 · 20:00N. Danyliuk1.331511910113D. Zeniuk3.25136111252LSep 4 · 09:31D. Zeniuk8.5048100N. Danyliuk1.051111123WSep 4 · 08:25D. Zeniuk1.501113113A. Zeniuk2.5071140LSep 4 · 07:25N. Danyliuk1.36121111113D. Zeniuk3.00146751LSep 4 · 06:25A. Molochko1.67111111113D. Zeniuk2.10137561WSep 4 · 04:55V. Verbyany1.7311481172D. Zeniuk2.00311119113WAug 25 · 05:35B. Kohut1.44121111582D. Zeniuk2.631071311113
Upcoming Matches
B. Kohut
D. Zeniuk
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.