TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13005411
Played Aug 25Finished
Bohdan Kohut
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119119115––––
Vasily Verbyany
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVasily Verbyany to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingBohdan Kohut above · Vasily Verbyany below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 56 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Vasily Verbyany at 54.0%
56 points played in total.
H2H Bohdan Kohut 53–46 Vasily Verbyany Vasily Verbyany has won 46 of their 99 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:55What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Verbyany
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
53-46 in 99
Kohut
Correct
gap of 7 in 99, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kohut 1952 vs Verbyany 1891
Kohut
Correct
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kohut 60% vs Verbyany 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kohut 50% vs Verbyany 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kohut -1 · Verbyany -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kohut) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKohut 1.83 / Verbyany 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kohut)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13005411
Kohut1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Verbyany1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKohut6wins
AwayVerbyany4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKohut leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKohutn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayVerbyany50%4 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kohut2Verbyany8n = 10Verbyany took 8 of 10
S2Kohut5Verbyany5n = 10split evenly
S3Kohut4Verbyany6n = 10Verbyany took 6 of 10
S4Kohut3Verbyany3n = 6split evenly
S5Kohut5Verbyany0n = 5Kohut took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKohutVerbyanyK − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match37.339.0−1.7per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKohutVerbyanyBasisWin rate · lifetime277 / 622 vs 310 / 76044.5%40.8%277 / 622 vs 310 / 760Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.736.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KohutKohut 1.83/Verbyany 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kohut · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kohut won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 25 · 06:35B. Kohut—1111113V. Verbyany—9950
LAug 24 · 13:05B. Kohut—10870V. Verbyany—1211113
LAug 23 · 21:00B. Kohut—811751V. Verbyany—11711113
WAug 21 · 05:25B. Kohut—118211113V. Verbyany—61111832
WAug 20 · 15:25B. Kohut—311117113V. Verbyany—11971172
LAug 20 · 24:30B. Kohut—69100V. Verbyany—1111123
LAug 4 · 06:35B. Kohut—3850V. Verbyany—1111113
WAug 3 · 16:35B. Kohut—3111411113V. Verbyany—111312972
WJul 31 · 07:25B. Kohut—1111117113V. Verbyany—13791162
WJul 30 · 16:25B. Kohut—1411911113V. Verbyany—16511572
B. Kohut10
LSep 7 · 12:35N. Danyliuk1.331111113B. Kohut3.254870WAug 31 · 03:00B. Kohut1.301111113A. Zeniuk3.406840LAug 31 · 01:00N. Danyliuk1.33111111113B. Kohut3.25136661LAug 30 · 23:00A. Molochko1.401081111113B. Kohut2.7512117592LAug 30 · 22:00B. Kohut1.5396110D. Zeniuk2.381111133WAug 30 · 21:00V. Verbyany1.8051161172B. Kohut1.91114118113WAug 25 · 10:08A. Molochko1.44513111172B. Kohut2.631111136113LAug 25 · 09:05B. Kohut2.631511941A. Molochko1.4417711113LAug 25 · 08:05B. Kohut3.408690N. Danyliuk1.301111113LAug 25 · 05:35B. Kohut1.44121111582D. Zeniuk2.631071311113
V. Verbyany10
LSep 6 · 23:30A. Molochko1.441111113V. Verbyany2.639560LSep 6 · 22:30V. Verbyany1.617118131D. Zeniuk2.2011911153LSep 6 · 21:30N. Danyliuk1.501111113V. Verbyany2.507740WSep 6 · 20:30V. Verbyany1.22111011113A. Zeniuk4.00712891WSep 4 · 09:53V. Verbyany2.38101111113A. Molochko1.53127431WSep 4 · 07:55A. Molochko1.5751214792V. Verbyany2.2511101211113WSep 4 · 06:55V. Verbyany1.281111113A. Zeniuk3.503580WSep 4 · 05:55N. Danyliuk1.5381191182V. Verbyany2.38114119113LSep 4 · 04:55V. Verbyany1.7311481172D. Zeniuk2.00311119113LAug 30 · 21:00V. Verbyany1.8051161172B. Kohut1.91114118113
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