TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13005433
Played Aug 25Finished
Bohdan Kohut
Home
3.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811611911––––
Nazar Danyliuk
Away
1.30
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:58 and never touched — 78.3% is still 78.3%
Graded at full timeNazar Danyliuk to win
78.3%
78.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingBohdan Kohut above · Nazar Danyliuk below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 56 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Nazar Danyliuk at 78.3%
56 points played in total.
H2H Bohdan Kohut 31–77 Nazar Danyliuk Bohdan Kohut has won 31 of their 108 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:58What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Danyliuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-77 in 108
Danyliuk
Correct
gap of 46 in 108, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kohut 1963 vs Danyliuk 2049
Danyliuk
Correct
both rated, 86 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kohut 60% vs Danyliuk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kohut 50% vs Danyliuk 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kohut +1 · Danyliuk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Danyliuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Danyliuk form (60%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKohut 3.40 / Danyliuk 1.30
Signal prob.22% / 78%
Edge (Danyliuk)+6.0pp
Setka Cup · #13005433
Kohut3.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 118 of 321
Down 0–1, comes back19% 33 of 174
Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 111
Danyliuk1.30
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 161 of 258
Up 2–0, closes it96% 77 of 80
Up 1–0, closes it81% 118 of 145
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKohut2wins
AwayDanyliuk8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderDanyliuk leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKohut33.3%2 of 6
AwayDanyliuk100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kohut6Danyliuk4n = 10Kohut took 6 of 10
S2Kohut1Danyliuk9n = 10Danyliuk took 9 of 10
S3Kohut4Danyliuk6n = 10Danyliuk took 6 of 10
S4Kohut1Danyliuk4n = 5Danyliuk took 4 of 5
S5Kohut1Danyliuk3n = 4Danyliuk took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricKohutDanyliukK − DBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match34.841.9−7.1per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKohutDanyliukBasisWin rate · lifetime276 / 619 vs 586 / 96544.6%60.7%276 / 619 vs 586 / 965Avg sets wonper match1.82.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.738.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DanyliukKohut 3.40/Danyliuk 1.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
78.3%
Danyliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Danyliuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 21 · 07:25B. Kohut—8670N. Danyliuk—1111113
LAug 20 · 18:25B. Kohut—13910111N. Danyliuk—111112133
LAug 19 · 23:30B. Kohut—5860N. Danyliuk—1111113
LAug 4 · 05:35B. Kohut—61170N. Danyliuk—1113113
LAug 3 · 13:05B. Kohut—111071162N. Danyliuk—912118113
LJul 31 · 06:25B. Kohut—115115102N. Danyliuk—811911123
WJul 30 · 14:55B. Kohut—1111143N. Danyliuk—97120
LJul 24 · 07:25B. Kohut—12713732N. Danyliuk—10111111113
LJul 23 · 16:25B. Kohut—412110N. Danyliuk—1114133
WJul 21 · 09:35B. Kohut—116118133N. Danyliuk—811811112
B. Kohut10
LSep 7 · 12:35N. Danyliuk1.331111113B. Kohut3.254870WAug 31 · 03:00B. Kohut1.301111113A. Zeniuk3.406840LAug 31 · 01:00N. Danyliuk1.33111111113B. Kohut3.25136661LAug 30 · 23:00A. Molochko1.401081111113B. Kohut2.7512117592LAug 30 · 22:00B. Kohut1.5396110D. Zeniuk2.381111133WAug 30 · 21:00V. Verbyany1.8051161172B. Kohut1.91114118113WAug 25 · 10:08A. Molochko1.44513111172B. Kohut2.631111136113LAug 25 · 09:05B. Kohut2.631511941A. Molochko1.4417711113WAug 25 · 06:35B. Kohut1.831111113V. Verbyany1.839950LAug 25 · 05:35B. Kohut1.44121111582D. Zeniuk2.631071311113
N. Danyliuk10
WSep 7 · 12:35N. Danyliuk1.331111113B. Kohut3.254870WSep 7 · 01:38N. Danyliuk1.53771114113A. Molochko2.38111181262LSep 7 · 24:30A. Molochko2.20118811123N. Danyliuk1.61811118102WSep 6 · 23:00N. Danyliuk1.0781113113A. Zeniuk7.501121181WSep 6 · 21:30N. Danyliuk1.501111113V. Verbyany2.507740WSep 6 · 20:00N. Danyliuk1.331511910113D. Zeniuk3.25136111252WSep 4 · 09:31D. Zeniuk8.5048100N. Danyliuk1.051111123LSep 4 · 08:55A. Molochko2.201111133N. Danyliuk1.6138110WSep 4 · 07:25N. Danyliuk1.36121111113D. Zeniuk3.00146751WAug 31 · 01:00N. Danyliuk1.33111111113B. Kohut3.25136661
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