TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105978
Played Sep 10Finished
Oleksandr Bondarchuk
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
13117119111214––
Bohdan Kohut
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:15 and never touched — 55.6% is still 55.6%
Graded at full timeBohdan Kohut to win
55.6%
55.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Bondarchuk above · Bohdan Kohut below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 12-14
Point 88 set 4, 12-14 — our read held Bohdan Kohut at 55.6%
88 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Bondarchuk 0–2 Bohdan Kohut Oleksandr Bondarchuk has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:15What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kohut
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Bondarchuk 1969 vs Kohut 1904
Bondarchuk
Wrong
both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bondarchuk 100% vs Kohut 40%
Bondarchuk
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bondarchuk 100% vs Kohut 30%
Bondarchuk
Wrong
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bondarchuk +5 · Kohut +1
Bondarchuk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kohut) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kohut form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBondarchuk 2.20 / Kohut 1.61
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kohut)-3.7pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13105978
Bondarchuk2.20
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 10
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 28 of 69
Down 0–1, comes back13% 4 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 20
Kohut1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 36 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it82% 14 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it74% 28 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeBondarchuk0wins
AwayKohut2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderKohut leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricBondarchukKohutB − KBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match41.044.5−3.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBondarchukKohutBasisWin rate · lifetime195 / 345 vs 282 / 63756.5%44.3%195 / 345 vs 282 / 637Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.336.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KohutBondarchuk 2.20/Kohut 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kohut · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kohut won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LMar 21 · 08:20O. Bondarchuk—11116892B. Kohut—781111113
LMar 20 · 20:50O. Bondarchuk—9111071B. Kohut—11712113
O. Bondarchuk10
WAug 21 · 17:13I. Hermakivskyi2.751151241O. Bondarchuk1.4061114113WAug 21 · 15:30A. Tkachenko1.803101161O. Bondarchuk1.9111128113WAug 21 · 14:30O. Bondarchuk1.361111113I. Hermakivskyi3.007580WAug 21 · 13:30D. Neborak3.4018111172O. Bondarchuk1.30111179113WAug 21 · 12:30O. Bondarchuk1.2511612113O. Ivchuk3.753111071WAug 13 · 10:44O. Ivchuk3.75115851O. Bondarchuk1.2561111113WAug 13 · 09:35O. Bondarchuk1.3611911113D. Neborak3.00511841WAug 13 · 08:35O. Bondarchuk1.6771211113I. Hermakivskyi2.101110661WAug 13 · 07:05O. Bondarchuk1.2811911113O. Ivchuk3.50811481WAug 13 · 06:05O. Bondarchuk1.201111113O. Belskyi4.332950
B. Kohut10
WSep 8 · 11:35B. Kohut1.25115911113A. Zeniuk3.7571111882LSep 8 · 09:35N. Danyliuk1.3381111113B. Kohut3.25115981WSep 8 · 07:35A. Molochko1.44911118172B. Kohut2.63117511193LSep 8 · 06:35B. Kohut1.73117571D. Zeniuk2.0071111113LSep 8 · 05:35V. Verbyany1.80118148113B. Kohut1.91811121162LSep 7 · 19:05D. Zeniuk2.2511115113B. Kohut1.57571121WSep 7 · 17:35B. Kohut1.2512512113A. Zeniuk3.7510111071LSep 7 · 15:35V. Verbyany1.801113163B. Kohut1.91311140LSep 7 · 13:35A. Molochko1.446111112113B. Kohut2.6311471482LSep 7 · 12:35N. Danyliuk1.331111113B. Kohut3.254870
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