TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12415197
Played Aug 13Finished
Oleksandr Bondarchuk
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115911118114––
Dmytro Neborak
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:01 and never touched — 79.8% is still 79.8%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Bondarchuk to win
79.8%
79.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Bondarchuk above · Dmytro Neborak below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 70 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Oleksandr Bondarchuk at 79.8%
70 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Bondarchuk 80–41 Dmytro Neborak Dmytro Neborak has won 41 of their 121 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:01What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Bondarchuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
80-41 in 121
Bondarchuk
Correct
gap of 39 in 121, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bondarchuk 1928 vs Neborak 1699
Bondarchuk
Correct
both rated, 228 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bondarchuk 100% vs Neborak 60%
Bondarchuk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bondarchuk 100% vs Neborak 50%
Bondarchuk
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bondarchuk +5 · Neborak -1
Bondarchuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 80% — Strong (leans Bondarchuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Neborak form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBondarchuk 1.36 / Neborak 3.00
Signal prob.80% / 20%
Edge (Bondarchuk)+11.0pp
Setka Cup · #12415197
Bondarchuk1.36
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 10
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 71 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it97% 37 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it84% 53 of 63
Neborak3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 119 of 342
Down 0–1, comes back17% 35 of 210
Down 0–2, comes back9% 12 of 134
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBondarchuk9wins
AwayNeborak1wins
1 of 10 to a deciderBondarchuk leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBondarchuk100%7 of 7
AwayNeborak33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bondarchuk7Neborak3n = 10Bondarchuk took 7 of 10
S2Bondarchuk9Neborak1n = 10Bondarchuk took 9 of 10
S3Bondarchuk8Neborak2n = 10Bondarchuk took 8 of 10
S4Bondarchuk3Neborak2n = 5Bondarchuk took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBondarchukNeborakB − NBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.027.3+9.7per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBondarchukNeborakBasisWin rate · lifetime203 / 369 vs 304 / 86055%35.4%203 / 369 vs 304 / 860Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.435.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BondarchukBondarchuk 1.36/Neborak 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.8%
Bondarchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Bondarchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 12 · 16:30O. Bondarchuk—11129113D. Neborak—8101171
WAug 8 · 11:20O. Bondarchuk—1111123D. Neborak—77100
WAug 8 · 10:20O. Bondarchuk—81111113D. Neborak—116251
WAug 7 · 16:30O. Bondarchuk—1111113D. Neborak—7470
WJul 30 · 11:33O. Bondarchuk—1111113D. Neborak—7650
WJul 30 · 10:20O. Bondarchuk—111296113D. Neborak—610111192
WJul 29 · 13:30O. Bondarchuk—1111113D. Neborak—9450
LJul 17 · 10:20O. Bondarchuk—3611101D. Neborak—11119123
WJul 17 · 06:50O. Bondarchuk—1113113D. Neborak—21170
WJul 16 · 17:00O. Bondarchuk—61111113D. Neborak—114371
O. Bondarchuk10
WAug 21 · 17:13I. Hermakivskyi2.751151241O. Bondarchuk1.4061114113WAug 21 · 15:30A. Tkachenko1.803101161O. Bondarchuk1.9111128113WAug 21 · 14:30O. Bondarchuk1.361111113I. Hermakivskyi3.007580WAug 21 · 13:30D. Neborak3.4018111172O. Bondarchuk1.30111179113WAug 21 · 12:30O. Bondarchuk1.2511612113O. Ivchuk3.753111071WAug 13 · 10:44O. Ivchuk3.75115851O. Bondarchuk1.2561111113WAug 13 · 08:35O. Bondarchuk1.6771211113I. Hermakivskyi2.101110661WAug 13 · 07:05O. Bondarchuk1.2811911113O. Ivchuk3.50811481WAug 13 · 06:05O. Bondarchuk1.201111113O. Belskyi4.332950WAug 12 · 17:34O. Ivchuk3.50114861O. Bondarchuk1.2891111113
D. Neborak10
LSep 6 · 19:25D. Neborak2.386121211102V. Melnik1.531114109123WSep 6 · 17:55D. Neborak1.256111411113E. Pismenniy3.7511816992WSep 6 · 16:25D. Neborak3.251111113Y. Masko1.334670WSep 6 · 14:55D. Neborak2.501981311113R. Cherevko1.50171115532WSep 6 · 13:25D. Neborak1.369121193R. Reznychenko3.001110641WSep 5 · 20:25D. Neborak1.361112113E. Pismenniy3.0021080WSep 5 · 18:25Y. Masko1.3088111122D. Neborak3.40111188103LSep 5 · 16:25A. Tuzhylin1.3013118113D. Neborak3.401191191LSep 5 · 15:25D. Neborak2.63111115972R. Cherevko1.44981711103LAug 21 · 13:30D. Neborak3.4018111172O. Bondarchuk1.30111179113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.