TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12414492
Played Aug 12Finished
Oleksandr Ivchuk
Home
3.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119411811611––
Oleksandr Bondarchuk
Away
1.29
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
How it is goingOleksandr Ivchuk above · Oleksandr Bondarchuk below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 71 set 4, 6-11
71 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Ivchuk 1–23 Oleksandr Bondarchuk Oleksandr Ivchuk has won 1 of their 24 meetings.
Signal confidence: 89% — Strong (leans Bondarchuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bondarchuk form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIvchuk 3.50 / Bondarchuk 1.28
Signal prob.11% / 89%
Edge (Bondarchuk)+15.8pp
Setka Cup · #12414492
Ivchuk3.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog26% won 13 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back7% 2 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 17
Bondarchuk1.28
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 66 of 100
Up 2–0, closes it97% 34 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it83% 50 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeIvchuk0wins
AwayBondarchuk10wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBondarchuk leads 10–0, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIvchuk0%0 of 5
AwayBondarchuk100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ivchuk5Bondarchuk5n = 10split evenly
S2Ivchuk3Bondarchuk7n = 10Bondarchuk took 7 of 10
S3Ivchuk3Bondarchuk7n = 10Bondarchuk took 7 of 10
S4Ivchuk1Bondarchuk8n = 9Bondarchuk took 8 of 9
S5Ivchuk0Bondarchuk3n = 3Bondarchuk took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricIvchukBondarchukI − BBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.141.8−7.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIvchukBondarchukBasisWin rate · lifetime393 / 563 vs 199 / 36569.8%54.5%393 / 563 vs 199 / 365Avg sets wonper match2.52.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.538.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BondarchukIvchuk 3.50/Bondarchuk 1.28
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
88.9%
Bondarchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Bondarchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 12 · 14:00O. Ivchuk—14811642O. Bondarchuk—1211711113
LAug 8 · 08:50O. Ivchuk—56100O. Bondarchuk—1111123
LAug 7 · 15:00O. Ivchuk—11116572O. Bondarchuk—371111113
LJul 30 · 07:20O. Ivchuk—119691O. Bondarchuk—61111113
LJul 29 · 17:08O. Ivchuk—391191O. Bondarchuk—11115113
LJul 29 · 14:30O. Ivchuk—116391O. Bondarchuk—91111113
LJun 5 · 17:20O. Ivchuk—711421O. Bondarchuk—11811113
LMay 23 · 10:20O. Ivchuk—7115111O. Bondarchuk—11111133
LMay 22 · 18:50O. Ivchuk—612111172O. Bondarchuk—111459113
LMay 16 · 06:50O. Ivchuk—1171081O. Bondarchuk—91112113
O. Ivchuk10
WAug 21 · 17:44O. Ivchuk1.83211119133D. Neborak1.83118711112LAug 21 · 16:00O. Ivchuk1.508880I. Hermakivskyi2.501111113WAug 21 · 15:00D. Neborak1.7311411762O. Ivchuk2.00911811113WAug 21 · 14:00A. Tkachenko2.2011911111O. Ivchuk1.6181113133LAug 21 · 12:30O. Bondarchuk1.2511612113O. Ivchuk3.753111071LAug 13 · 10:44O. Ivchuk3.75115851O. Bondarchuk1.2561111113WAug 13 · 09:05O. Ivchuk1.8371111113O. Belskyi1.83118551WAug 13 · 08:05D. Neborak1.8311311572O. Ivchuk1.83811811113LAug 13 · 07:05O. Bondarchuk1.2811911113O. Ivchuk3.50811481WAug 13 · 05:35I. Hermakivskyi2.005540O. Ivchuk1.731111113
O. Bondarchuk10
WAug 21 · 17:13I. Hermakivskyi2.751151241O. Bondarchuk1.4061114113WAug 21 · 15:30A. Tkachenko1.803101161O. Bondarchuk1.9111128113WAug 21 · 14:30O. Bondarchuk1.361111113I. Hermakivskyi3.007580WAug 21 · 13:30D. Neborak3.4018111172O. Bondarchuk1.30111179113WAug 21 · 12:30O. Bondarchuk1.2511612113O. Ivchuk3.753111071WAug 13 · 10:44O. Ivchuk3.75115851O. Bondarchuk1.2561111113WAug 13 · 09:35O. Bondarchuk1.3611911113D. Neborak3.00511841WAug 13 · 08:35O. Bondarchuk1.6771211113I. Hermakivskyi2.101110661WAug 13 · 07:05O. Bondarchuk1.2811911113O. Ivchuk3.50811481WAug 13 · 06:05O. Bondarchuk1.201111113O. Belskyi4.332950
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