TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12415167
Played Aug 13Finished
Oleksandr Bondarchuk
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
7111210116116––
Illia Hermakivskyi
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:51 and never touched — 66.8% is still 66.8%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Bondarchuk to win
66.8%
66.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Bondarchuk above · Illia Hermakivskyi below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 74 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Oleksandr Bondarchuk at 66.8%
74 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Bondarchuk 6–1 Illia Hermakivskyi Illia Hermakivskyi has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:51What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Bondarchuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-1 in 7
Bondarchuk
Correct
gap of 5 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bondarchuk 1923 vs Hermakivskyi 1645
Bondarchuk
Correct
both rated, 278 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bondarchuk 100% vs Hermakivskyi 0%
Bondarchuk
Correct
100pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bondarchuk 100% vs Hermakivskyi 30%
Bondarchuk
Correct
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bondarchuk +5 · Hermakivskyi -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Bondarchuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hermakivskyi form (0%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBondarchuk 1.67 / Hermakivskyi 2.10
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Bondarchuk)+11.0pp
Setka Cup · #12415167
Bondarchuk1.67
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 10
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite68% won 71 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it97% 37 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it84% 53 of 63
Hermakivskyi2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 9 of 24
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeBondarchuk6wins
AwayHermakivskyi1wins
6 of 7 to a deciderBondarchuk leads 6–1, and 6 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBondarchuk100%5 of 5
AwayHermakivskyin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bondarchuk5Hermakivskyi2n = 7Bondarchuk took 5 of 7
S2Bondarchuk5Hermakivskyi2n = 7Bondarchuk took 5 of 7
S3Bondarchuk3Hermakivskyi4n = 7Hermakivskyi took 4 of 7
S4Bondarchuk2Hermakivskyi4n = 6Hermakivskyi took 4 of 6
S5Bondarchuk5Hermakivskyi1n = 6Bondarchuk took 5 of 6
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home571%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricBondarchukHermakivskyiB − HBasisWins61+5in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match46.442.9+3.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBondarchukHermakivskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime202 / 368 vs 19 / 4254.9%45.2%202 / 368 vs 19 / 42Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.436.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BondarchukBondarchuk 1.67/Hermakivskyi 2.10
Hit
What we said
66.8%
Bondarchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Bondarchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 12 · 15:30O. Bondarchuk—1111815113I. Hermakivskyi—66111742
WAug 8 · 05:50O. Bondarchuk—117314113I. Hermakivskyi—711111282
WAug 7 · 12:00O. Bondarchuk—119117113I. Hermakivskyi—41191162
LJul 30 · 05:50O. Bondarchuk—91241152I. Hermakivskyi—1110113113
WJul 29 · 12:30O. Bondarchuk—911118123I. Hermakivskyi—118611102
WJul 4 · 17:39O. Bondarchuk—111196113I. Hermakivskyi—99111192
WJul 4 · 14:28O. Bondarchuk—1211113I. Hermakivskyi—10690
O. Bondarchuk10
WAug 21 · 17:13I. Hermakivskyi2.751151241O. Bondarchuk1.4061114113WAug 21 · 15:30A. Tkachenko1.803101161O. Bondarchuk1.9111128113WAug 21 · 14:30O. Bondarchuk1.361111113I. Hermakivskyi3.007580WAug 21 · 13:30D. Neborak3.4018111172O. Bondarchuk1.30111179113WAug 21 · 12:30O. Bondarchuk1.2511612113O. Ivchuk3.753111071WAug 13 · 10:44O. Ivchuk3.75115851O. Bondarchuk1.2561111113WAug 13 · 09:35O. Bondarchuk1.3611911113D. Neborak3.00511841WAug 13 · 07:05O. Bondarchuk1.2811911113O. Ivchuk3.50811481WAug 13 · 06:05O. Bondarchuk1.201111113O. Belskyi4.332950WAug 12 · 17:34O. Ivchuk3.50114861O. Bondarchuk1.2891111113
I. Hermakivskyi10
LAug 21 · 17:13I. Hermakivskyi2.751151241O. Bondarchuk1.4061114113WAug 21 · 16:00O. Ivchuk1.508880I. Hermakivskyi2.501111113LAug 21 · 14:30O. Bondarchuk1.361111113I. Hermakivskyi3.007580LAug 21 · 13:00A. Tkachenko2.00141011143I. Hermakivskyi1.7312127121WAug 21 · 12:00D. Neborak1.61811511102I. Hermakivskyi2.20119116123LAug 13 · 07:35I. Hermakivskyi1.5311117652O. Belskyi2.38851111113LAug 13 · 06:35D. Neborak2.001111113I. Hermakivskyi1.731540LAug 13 · 05:35I. Hermakivskyi2.005540O. Ivchuk1.731111113LAug 12 · 17:04I. Hermakivskyi1.83111111982D. Neborak1.83413511113LAug 12 · 15:30O. Bondarchuk1.611111815113I. Hermakivskyi2.2066111742
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.