TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12414942
Played Aug 13Finished
Oleksandr Bondarchuk
Home
1.20
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 8
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
112119115––––
Oleksandr Belskyi
Away
4.33
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:42 and never touched — 87.1% is still 87.1%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Bondarchuk to win
87.1%
87.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Bondarchuk above · Oleksandr Belskyi below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 49 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Oleksandr Bondarchuk at 87.1%
49 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Bondarchuk 18–2 Oleksandr Belskyi Oleksandr Belskyi has won 2 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:42What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Bondarchuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-2 in 20
Bondarchuk
Correct
gap of 16 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bondarchuk 1941 vs Belskyi 1513
Bondarchuk
Correct
both rated, 428 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bondarchuk 100% vs Belskyi 0%
Bondarchuk
Correct
100pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bondarchuk 90% vs Belskyi 0%
Bondarchuk
Correct
90pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bondarchuk +5 · Belskyi -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 87% — Strong (leans Bondarchuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Belskyi form (0%) is below what odds imply (23%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBondarchuk 1.20 / Belskyi 4.33
Signal prob.87% / 13%
Edge (Bondarchuk)+8.8pp
Setka Cup · #12414942
Bondarchuk1.20
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 76 of 110
Up 2–0, closes it97% 38 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it85% 56 of 66
Belskyi4.33
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog21% won 9 of 43
Down 0–1, comes back8% 2 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBondarchuk9wins
AwayBelskyi1wins
1 of 10 to a deciderBondarchuk leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBondarchuk100%6 of 6
AwayBelskyi25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bondarchuk6Belskyi4n = 10Bondarchuk took 6 of 10
S2Bondarchuk8Belskyi2n = 10Bondarchuk took 8 of 10
S3Bondarchuk8Belskyi2n = 10Bondarchuk took 8 of 10
S4Bondarchuk4Belskyi0n = 4Bondarchuk took 4 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBondarchukBelskyiBondarchuk − BelskyiBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.226.6+8.6per matchSweeps51+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBondarchukBelskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime202 / 366 vs 46 / 11655.2%39.7%202 / 366 vs 46 / 116Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.436.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BondarchukBondarchuk 1.20/Belskyi 4.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
87.1%
Bondarchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Bondarchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 13 · 06:05O. Bondarchuk—1111113O. Belskyi—2950
WAug 12 · 13:00O. Bondarchuk—1111113O. Belskyi—8280
WJun 20 · 12:20O. Bondarchuk—711311113O. Belskyi—11711552
WJun 19 · 20:50O. Bondarchuk—1111113O. Belskyi—7690
LMay 16 · 10:50O. Bondarchuk—51080O. Belskyi—1112113
WMay 15 · 18:50O. Bondarchuk—1111113O. Belskyi—5790
WMay 1 · 05:05O. Bondarchuk—41111113O. Belskyi—119991
WApr 30 · 13:40O. Bondarchuk—111011113O. Belskyi—912651
WApr 18 · 08:00O. Bondarchuk—1111113O. Belskyi—7850
WApr 17 · 12:10O. Bondarchuk—81111113O. Belskyi—114561
O. Bondarchuk10
WAug 21 · 17:13I. Hermakivskyi2.751151241O. Bondarchuk1.4061114113WAug 21 · 15:30A. Tkachenko1.803101161O. Bondarchuk1.9111128113WAug 21 · 14:30O. Bondarchuk1.361111113I. Hermakivskyi3.007580WAug 21 · 13:30D. Neborak3.4018111172O. Bondarchuk1.30111179113WAug 21 · 12:30O. Bondarchuk1.2511612113O. Ivchuk3.753111071WAug 13 · 10:44O. Ivchuk3.75115851O. Bondarchuk1.2561111113WAug 13 · 09:35O. Bondarchuk1.3611911113D. Neborak3.00511841WAug 13 · 08:35O. Bondarchuk1.6771211113I. Hermakivskyi2.101110661WAug 13 · 07:05O. Bondarchuk1.2811911113O. Ivchuk3.50811481WAug 12 · 17:34O. Ivchuk3.50114861O. Bondarchuk1.2891111113
O. Belskyi10
LAug 13 · 10:19O. Belskyi1.57111110382D. Neborak2.25761211113LAug 13 · 09:05O. Ivchuk1.8371111113O. Belskyi1.83118551WAug 13 · 07:35I. Hermakivskyi1.5311117652O. Belskyi2.38851111113LAug 13 · 05:05D. Neborak1.6111116113O. Belskyi2.20491121LAug 12 · 16:00O. Ivchuk2.001111113O. Belskyi1.736950LAug 12 · 14:30I. Hermakivskyi1.7311814113O. Belskyi2.002111281LAug 12 · 13:00O. Bondarchuk1.221111113O. Belskyi4.008280LAug 12 · 12:00D. Neborak1.6711911113O. Belskyi2.10911761LJun 20 · 12:20O. Belskyi4.0011711552O. Bondarchuk1.22711311113LJun 20 · 10:20M. Zavada1.281316113O. Belskyi3.50111430
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.