TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12406846
Played Aug 12Finished
Illia Hermakivskyi
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1128111412118––
Oleksandr Belskyi
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:39 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeIllia Hermakivskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIllia Hermakivskyi above · Oleksandr Belskyi below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 77 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Illia Hermakivskyi at 54.0%
77 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:39What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Hermakivskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Hermakivskyi 1708 vs Belskyi 1530
Hermakivskyi
Correct
both rated, 179 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hermakivskyi 60% vs Belskyi 0%
Hermakivskyi
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hermakivskyi 40% vs Belskyi 0%
Hermakivskyi
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hermakivskyi -2 · Belskyi -5
Belskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hermakivskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Belskyi form (0%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHermakivskyi 1.73 / Belskyi 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hermakivskyi)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #12406846
Hermakivskyi1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite75% won 9 of 12
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Belskyi2.00
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog26% won 11 of 43
Down 0–1, comes back13% 3 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricHermakivskyiBelskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime18 / 36 vs 45 / 10950%41.3%18 / 36 vs 45 / 109Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HermakivskyiHermakivskyi 1.73/Belskyi 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Hermakivskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hermakivskyi won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
I. Hermakivskyi10
LAug 21 · 17:13I. Hermakivskyi2.751151241O. Bondarchuk1.4061114113WAug 21 · 16:00O. Ivchuk1.508880I. Hermakivskyi2.501111113LAug 21 · 14:30O. Bondarchuk1.361111113I. Hermakivskyi3.007580LAug 21 · 13:00A. Tkachenko2.00141011143I. Hermakivskyi1.7312127121WAug 21 · 12:00D. Neborak1.61811511102I. Hermakivskyi2.20119116123LAug 13 · 08:35O. Bondarchuk1.6771211113I. Hermakivskyi2.101110661LAug 13 · 07:35I. Hermakivskyi1.5311117652O. Belskyi2.38851111113LAug 13 · 06:35D. Neborak2.001111113I. Hermakivskyi1.731540LAug 13 · 05:35I. Hermakivskyi2.005540O. Ivchuk1.731111113LAug 12 · 17:04I. Hermakivskyi1.83111111982D. Neborak1.83413511113
O. Belskyi10
LAug 13 · 10:19O. Belskyi1.57111110382D. Neborak2.25761211113LAug 13 · 09:05O. Ivchuk1.8371111113O. Belskyi1.83118551WAug 13 · 07:35I. Hermakivskyi1.5311117652O. Belskyi2.38851111113LAug 13 · 06:05O. Bondarchuk1.201111113O. Belskyi4.332950LAug 13 · 05:05D. Neborak1.6111116113O. Belskyi2.20491121LAug 12 · 16:00O. Ivchuk2.001111113O. Belskyi1.736950LAug 12 · 13:00O. Bondarchuk1.221111113O. Belskyi4.008280LAug 12 · 12:00D. Neborak1.6711911113O. Belskyi2.10911761LJun 20 · 12:20O. Belskyi4.0011711552O. Bondarchuk1.22711311113LJun 20 · 10:20M. Zavada1.281316113O. Belskyi3.50111430
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